NSC Norfolk Southern Corp
$317.44 · +0.00% vs $317.44 close · scored 10:32 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 59/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 91.3 points.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+79.0 composite┆ −12.2 yesterday (+91.3) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 40% today
518 contracts · quality 53 · stability 0.74
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+60.8 pts
513 calls · 99.0% 5 puts
bias +98.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.2 pts
649 call OI · 74.0% 228 put OI
bias +48.0 × 0.38
Equals
+79.0
77% of the score comes from today’s volume, 23% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.81% · tape +127.0 · corr -0.19
▼ low −64.3 ◆ −94.7 in a day ● peak +79 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-10 $349 $309 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.81% while the tape has firmed 127.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 53 · 518 contracts
note Jumpy 0.74 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led NSC’s price by 3 days (r=-0.35, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on NSC is poor 22% hit rate on 283 closed calls · payoff 2.00×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $317.44. The $330 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 359).
3 Oct · 4h
$317.44 → $317.44
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$312.67 → $312.67
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$310.26 → $310.26
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$310.76 → $310.76
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 153 of these 283 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 27.05 · fwd 22.54 Beta 1.206
52w $277.80–$358.60 IV rank —
Ask about NSC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −12 to +79 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −12.2 on 2 Oct, then rose to +79.0 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $310.26 to $317.44. It’s at +79.0 now.+60.8 from volume and +18.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our NSC record what it is? What’s the $330 wall?
What our data projects
−0.20 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#403 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $330 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Norfolk Southern Corp · Road & Rail
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+79.0 ┆ −12.2 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +79
+60.8 volume · 99% calls+18.2 OI · 74% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −94.7 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-10 $349 $309 Price −1.81%, tape +127.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 53 · 518 contracts
note Jumpy 0.74 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+60.8 pts
513 calls · 5 puts · bias +98.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.2 pts
649 call OI · 228 put OI · bias +48.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.81% · tape +127.0 · corr -0.19
▼ low −64.3 ◆ −94.7 in a day ● peak +79 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-10 $349 $309 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.81% while the tape has firmed 127.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
22% hit rate · 283 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$317.44 → $317.44
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$312.67 → $312.67
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$310.26 → $310.26
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$310.76 → $310.76
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $330 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NSC
Why did the score rise from −12 to +79 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −12.2 on 2 Oct, then rose to +79.0 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $310.26 to $317.44. It’s at +79.0 now.+60.8 from volume and +18.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our NSC record what it is? What’s the $330 wall?