NU Nu Holdings Ltd.
$15.38 · −0.06% vs $15.39 close · scored 14:29 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 74/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 74/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.9 composite+7.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
74 / 100 · top 9% today
24,107 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+18.0 pts
15,547 calls · 64.5% 8,560 puts
bias +29.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+15.0 pts
416,500 call OI · 69.7% 181,158 put OI
bias +39.4 × 0.38
Equals
+32.9
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.33% · tape −21.9 · corr 0.50
● peak +70 ▼ low −19.6 ◆ +77.2 in a day 08-22 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-09 $16 $12 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.33% while the tape has faded 21.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 82 · 24,107 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NU’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.31, n=47)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on NU is poor 25% hit rate on 1034 closed calls · payoff 2.89×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.38 highlighted. The $13 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 100,792). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
25%
hit rate · 1034 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 500 of these 1034 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 20.60 · fwd 17.65 Beta 0.971
52w $11.20–$18.98 IV rank —
Ask about NU answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +26 to +33 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +8.9 on 7 Oct, then rose to +33.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $15.66 to $15.66. It’s at +32.9 now.+18.0 from volume and +15.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 48 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with JPM Why is our NU record what it is? What’s the $13 wall?
What our data projects
+0.23 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#152 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $13 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Nu Holdings Ltd. · Banking
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +33
+18.0 volume · 64% calls+15.0 OI · 70% calls
48 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +77.2 08-22 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-09 $16 $12 Price +0.33%, tape −21.9 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 82 · 24,107 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NU’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.31, n=47)
What traded today · 62%
+18.0 pts
15,547 calls · 8,560 puts · bias +29.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+15.0 pts
416,500 call OI · 181,158 put OI · bias +39.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.33% · tape −21.9 · corr 0.50
● peak +70 ▼ low −19.6 ◆ +77.2 in a day 08-22 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-09 $16 $12 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.33% while the tape has faded 21.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
25% hit rate · 1034 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.38 → $15.38
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $13 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NU
Why did the score rise from +26 to +33 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +8.9 on 7 Oct, then rose to +33.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $15.66 to $15.66. It’s at +32.9 now.+18.0 from volume and +15.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 48 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with JPM Why is our NU record what it is? What’s the $13 wall?