NWSA News Corp
$29.08 · +1.34% vs $28.69 close · scored 20:05 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 23.8 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.7 composite┆ +15.0 yesterday (+23.8) −17.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 50% today
166 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.82
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
What traded today · weight 62%
+3.0 pts
87 calls · 52.4% 79 puts
bias +4.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+35.7 pts
32,573 call OI · 97.0% 996 put OI
bias +94.1 × 0.38
Equals
+38.7
8% of the score comes from today’s volume, 92% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.79% · tape −58.9 · corr 0.56
▼ low −26.4 ◆ −124.0 in a day ● peak +98 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $31 $28 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.79% while the tape has faded 58.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 58 · 166 contracts
pass Stable 0.82 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +31.94% avg, n=11,250
pass Tape has led price tape has led NWSA’s price by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
against Our record on NWSA is poor 3% hit rate on 993 closed calls · payoff 0.91×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $29.08 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 21,330). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on NWSA Proof 8 Oct · 4h
$29.08 → $29.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$28.69 → $28.69
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$28.62 → $28.62
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$28.62 → $28.62
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 142 of these 993 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 27.99 · fwd 21.71 Beta 1.028
52w $22.20–$31.66 IV rank —
Ask about NWSA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +56 to +39 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +56.3 on 1 Oct, then fell to +15.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $28.65 to $28.62. It’s at +38.7 now.+3.0 from volume and +35.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 20:05 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our NWSA record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?
What our data projects
−0.90 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#635 of 635. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
News Corp · Media
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.7 ┆ +15.0 yday evidence
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
Why it’s +39
+3.0 volume · 52% calls+35.7 OI · 97% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −124.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $31 $28 Price −3.79%, tape −58.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 58 · 166 contracts
pass Stable 0.82 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against Our record on NWSA is poor 3% hit rate on 993 closed calls · payoff 0.91×
What traded today · 62%
+3.0 pts
87 calls · 79 puts · bias +4.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+35.7 pts
32,573 call OI · 996 put OI · bias +94.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.79% · tape −58.9 · corr 0.56
▼ low −26.4 ◆ −124.0 in a day ● peak +98 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $31 $28 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.79% while the tape has faded 58.9 points. They agree.
3% hit rate · 993 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$29.08 → $29.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$28.69 → $28.69
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$28.62 → $28.62
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$28.62 → $28.62
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NWSA
Why did the score drop from +56 to +39 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +56.3 on 1 Oct, then fell to +15.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $28.65 to $28.62. It’s at +38.7 now.+3.0 from volume and +35.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 20:05 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our NWSA record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?