OKE ONEOK Inc
$90.68 · +0.43% vs $90.29 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 61/100
What changed
Composite weakened 30.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−12.3 composite┆ +18.1 yesterday (−30.4) −84.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
2,129 contracts · quality 89 · stability 0.91
hasn’t paid +2.29% · n=7,579
What traded today · weight 62%
−29.3 pts
562 calls · 26.4% 1,567 puts
bias −47.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.9 pts
33,680 call OI · 72.3% 12,909 put OI
bias +44.6 × 0.38
Equals
−12.3
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.40% · tape −25.5 · corr -0.09
● peak +72 ◆ +45.9 in a day ▼ low −12.3 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $93 $85 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.40% while the tape has faded 25.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 89 · 2,129 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 74
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +2.29% avg, n=7,579
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led OKE’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.25, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on OKE is poor 23% hit rate on 311 closed calls · payoff 1.31×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $90.68 highlighted. The $100 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 13,041). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$90.68 → $90.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$90.29 → $90.68
+0.43% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$88.58 → $90.68
+2.37% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$90.29 → $90.68
+0.43% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 181 of these 311 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 15.41 · fwd 14.88 Beta 0.786
52w $64.02–$99.85 IV rank —
Ask about OKE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +26 to −12 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +26.2 on 1 Oct, then rose to +72.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $85.33 to $87.16. It’s at −12.3 now.−29.3 from volume and +16.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our OKE record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?
What our data projects
−0.36 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#516 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
ONEOK Inc · Energy
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−12.3 ┆ +18.1 yday evidence
hasn’t paid +2.29% · n=7,579
Why it’s −12
−29.3 volume · 26% calls+16.9 OI · 72% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +45.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $93 $85 Price −7.40%, tape −25.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 89 · 2,129 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 74
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +2.29% avg, n=7,579
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led OKE’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.25, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−29.3 pts
562 calls · 1,567 puts · bias −47.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.9 pts
33,680 call OI · 12,909 put OI · bias +44.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.40% · tape −25.5 · corr -0.09
● peak +72 ◆ +45.9 in a day ▼ low −12.3 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $93 $85 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.40% while the tape has faded 25.5 points. They agree.
23% hit rate · 311 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$90.68 → $90.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$90.29 → $90.68
+0.43% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$88.58 → $90.68
+2.37% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$90.29 → $90.68
+0.43% hit
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about OKE
Why did the score drop from +26 to −12 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +26.2 on 1 Oct, then rose to +72.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $85.33 to $87.16. It’s at −12.3 now.−29.3 from volume and +16.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with OXY Why is our OKE record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?