OMC Omnicom Group Inc
$74.00 · +0.00% vs $74.00 close · scored 11:34 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 56/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 30.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+73.9 composite┆ +43.3 yesterday (+30.6) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 47% today
63 contracts · quality 61 · stability 0.77
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+60.0 pts
62 calls · 98.4% 1 puts
bias +96.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.8 pts
2,545 call OI · 68.2% 1,186 put OI
bias +36.4 × 0.38
Equals
+73.9
81% of the score comes from today’s volume, 19% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −10.43% · tape +99.1 · corr -0.26
▼ low −57.6 ● peak +74 ◆ +72.8 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $83 $74 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 10.43% while the tape has firmed 99.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 61 · 63 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led OMC’s price by 2 days (r=-0.34, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on OMC is poor 17% hit rate on 246 closed calls · payoff 0.21×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $74.00. The $87.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 695).
2 Oct · 4h
$74.00 → $74.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$74.70 → $74.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$74.70 → $74.70
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$75.36 → $75.36
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 140 of these 246 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 52.29 · fwd 6.76 Beta 0.763
52w $66.33–$89.57 IV rank —
Ask about OMC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +1 to +74 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +1.1 on 1 Oct, then rose to +73.9 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $73.63 to $74.70. It’s at +73.9 now.+60.0 from volume and +13.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 11:34 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our OMC record what it is? What’s the $87.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.35 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#111 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $87.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Omnicom Group Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+73.9 ┆ +43.3 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +74
+60.0 volume · 98% calls+13.8 OI · 68% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +72.8 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $83 $74 Price −10.43%, tape +99.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 61 · 63 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+60.0 pts
62 calls · 1 puts · bias +96.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.8 pts
2,545 call OI · 1,186 put OI · bias +36.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −10.43% · tape +99.1 · corr -0.26
▼ low −57.6 ● peak +74 ◆ +72.8 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $83 $74 Over 30 days, price has fallen 10.43% while the tape has firmed 99.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
17% hit rate · 246 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$74.00 → $74.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$74.70 → $74.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$74.70 → $74.70
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$75.36 → $75.36
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $87.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about OMC
Why did the score rise from +1 to +74 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +1.1 on 1 Oct, then rose to +73.9 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $73.63 to $74.70. It’s at +73.9 now.+60.0 from volume and +13.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 11:34 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our OMC record what it is? What’s the $87.5 wall?