PACB Pacific Biosciences of California Inc
$2.30 · +0.00% vs $2.30 close · scored 14:21 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 72/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 72/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+82.7 composite┆ +82.7 yesterday (+0.0) +74.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
72 / 100 · top 11% today
6,269 contracts · quality 66 · stability 0.83
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+49.1 pts
5,618 calls · 89.6% 651 puts
bias +79.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+33.5 pts
115,108 call OI · 94.1% 7,202 put OI
bias +88.2 × 0.38
Equals
+82.7
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +70.76% · tape +13.8 · corr -0.39
▼ low −27.3 ◆ +101.4 in a day ● peak +98 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $3 $1 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 70.76% while the tape has firmed 13.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 72 (89th pct) · quality 66 · 6,269 contracts
pass Stable 0.83 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PACB’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on PACB is poor 30% hit rate on 302 closed calls · payoff 1.11×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2.30 highlighted. The $3 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 57,328).
05 Our record on PACB Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 166 of these 302 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.253
52w $1.07–$2.73 IV rank —
Ask about PACB answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +8 to +83 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +7.9 on 7 Oct, then rose to +82.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2.71 to $2.71. It’s at +82.7 now.+49.1 from volume and +33.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:21 method · 62/38
Compare with TMO Why is our PACB record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?
What our data projects
+0.74 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#28 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Pacific Biosciences of California Inc · Life Sciences Tools & Services
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+82.7 ┆ +82.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +83
+49.1 volume · 90% calls+33.5 OI · 94% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +101.4 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $3 $1 Price +70.76%, tape +13.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 72 (89th pct) · quality 66 · 6,269 contracts
pass Stable 0.83 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PACB’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+49.1 pts
5,618 calls · 651 puts · bias +79.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+33.5 pts
115,108 call OI · 7,202 put OI · bias +88.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +70.76% · tape +13.8 · corr -0.39
▼ low −27.3 ◆ +101.4 in a day ● peak +98 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $3 $1 Over 30 days, price has risen 70.76% while the tape has firmed 13.8 points. They agree.
30% hit rate · 302 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.30 → $2.30
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PACB
Why did the score rise from +8 to +83 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +7.9 on 7 Oct, then rose to +82.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2.71 to $2.71. It’s at +82.7 now.+49.1 from volume and +33.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:21 method · 62/38
Compare with TMO Why is our PACB record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?