PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Inc
$71.73 · +0.00% vs $71.73 close · scored 09:03 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 39.3 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.5 composite┆ −1.9 yesterday (+39.3) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
354 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.67
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+15.1 pts
220 calls · 62.1% 134 puts
bias +24.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+22.4 pts
11,859 call OI · 79.5% 3,063 put OI
bias +58.9 × 0.38
Equals
+37.5
40% of the score comes from today’s volume, 60% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.67% · tape −30.1 · corr -0.34
● peak +79 ◆ −48.8 in a day ▼ low −1.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $74 $66 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.67% while the tape has faded 30.1 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 80 · 354 contracts
note Jumpy 0.67 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led PEG’s price by 2 days (r=-0.39, n=43)
against Our record on PEG is poor 22% hit rate on 520 closed calls · payoff 0.45×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $71.73. The $85 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,988).
2 Oct · 4h
$68.06 → $68.06
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$67.89 → $67.89
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$67.89 → $67.89
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$67.07 → $67.07
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 396 of these 520 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 16.97 · fwd 15.05 Beta 0.513
52w $66.15–$87.63 IV rank —
Ask about PEG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −2 to +37 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −1.9 on 1 Oct, then rose to +37.5 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $66.46 to $67.89. It’s at +37.5 now.+15.1 from volume and +22.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 09:03 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our PEG record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?
What our data projects
−0.11 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#347 of 635 · helped by volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc · Utilities
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.5 ┆ −1.9 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +37
+15.1 volume · 62% calls+22.4 OI · 79% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −48.8 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $74 $66 Price −2.67%, tape −30.1 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 80 · 354 contracts
note Jumpy 0.67 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
against Our record on PEG is poor 22% hit rate on 520 closed calls · payoff 0.45×
What traded today · 62%
+15.1 pts
220 calls · 134 puts · bias +24.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+22.4 pts
11,859 call OI · 3,063 put OI · bias +58.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.67% · tape −30.1 · corr -0.34
● peak +79 ◆ −48.8 in a day ▼ low −1.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $74 $66 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.67% while the tape has faded 30.1 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
22% hit rate · 520 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$68.06 → $68.06
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$67.89 → $67.89
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$67.89 → $67.89
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$67.07 → $67.07
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PEG
Why did the score rise from −2 to +37 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −1.9 on 1 Oct, then rose to +37.5 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $66.46 to $67.89. It’s at +37.5 now.+15.1 from volume and +22.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 09:03 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our PEG record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?