PG Procter & Gamble Co
$144.91 · +0.00% vs $144.91 close · scored 06:31 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.2 composite−0.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
5,195 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+24.5 pts
3,624 calls · 69.8% 1,571 puts
bias +39.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.7 pts
82,856 call OI · 66.8% 41,262 put OI
bias +33.5 × 0.38
Equals
+37.2
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −0.46% · tape +1.8 · corr 0.19
● peak +65 ▼ low +21.3 ◆ +37.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $148 $144 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.46% while the tape has barely moved (+1.8). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 5,195 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led PG’s price by 1 day (r=-0.24, n=44)
against Our record on PG is poor 26% hit rate on 315 closed calls · payoff 1.05×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $144.91. The $155 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 19,634). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
3 Oct · 4h
$144.91 → $144.91
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$144.28 → $144.28
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$143.95 → $143.95
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$144.15 → $144.15
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 163 of these 315 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 20.98 · fwd 20.97 Beta 0.385
52w $137.62–$167.25 IV rank —
Ask about PG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +59 to +37 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +58.9 on 1 Oct, then fell to +37.8 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $145.49 to $143.95. It’s at +37.2 now.+24.5 from volume and +12.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 06:31 method · 62/38
Compare with GPRO Why is our PG record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?
What our data projects
−0.11 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#341 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Procter & Gamble Co · Consumer products
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +37
+24.5 volume · 70% calls+12.7 OI · 67% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +37.6 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $148 $144 Price −0.46%, tape +1.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 5,195 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
against Our record on PG is poor 26% hit rate on 315 closed calls · payoff 1.05×
What traded today · 62%
+24.5 pts
3,624 calls · 1,571 puts · bias +39.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.7 pts
82,856 call OI · 41,262 put OI · bias +33.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −0.46% · tape +1.8 · corr 0.19
● peak +65 ▼ low +21.3 ◆ +37.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $148 $144 Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.46% while the tape has barely moved (+1.8). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
26% hit rate · 315 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$144.91 → $144.91
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$144.28 → $144.28
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$143.95 → $143.95
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$144.15 → $144.15
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PG
Why did the score drop from +59 to +37 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +58.9 on 1 Oct, then fell to +37.8 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $145.49 to $143.95. It’s at +37.2 now.+24.5 from volume and +12.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 06:31 method · 62/38
Compare with GPRO Why is our PG record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?