PH Parker-Hannifin Corp
$984.91 · +1.27% vs $972.55 close · scored 20:17 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+14.6 composite−44.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 34% today
1,184 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.1 pts
669 calls · 56.5% 515 puts
bias +13.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+6.5 pts
4,361 call OI · 58.6% 3,082 put OI
bias +17.2 × 0.38
Equals
+14.6
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +2.11% · tape +51.5 · corr 0.13
▼ low −59.5 ● peak +59 ◆ +118.8 in a day 09-24 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-10 $985 $966 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 2.11% while the tape has firmed 51.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (66th pct) · quality 77 · 1,184 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on PH is poor 22% hit rate on 260 closed calls · payoff 0.97×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $984.91 highlighted. The $1,060 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,108).
6 Oct · 4h
$984.91 → $984.91
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$972.55 → $972.55
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$979.15 → $979.15
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$965.88 → $965.88
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 144 of these 260 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 33.82 · fwd 26.81 Beta 1.138
52w $715.37–$1,099.94 IV rank —
Ask about PH answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +43 to +15 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was −59.5 on 2 Oct, then rose to +59.3 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $965.88 to $972.55. It’s at +14.6 now.+8.1 from volume and +6.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 20:17 method · 62/38
Compare with ITW Why is our PH record what it is? What’s the $1060 wall?
What our data projects
−0.28 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#477 of 635 · helped by composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $1060 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Parker-Hannifin Corp · Machinery
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+14.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
Why it’s +15
+8.1 volume · 57% calls+6.5 OI · 59% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +118.8 09-24 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-10 $985 $966 Price +2.11%, tape +51.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (66th pct) · quality 77 · 1,184 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=42)
What traded today · 62%
+8.1 pts
669 calls · 515 puts · bias +13.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+6.5 pts
4,361 call OI · 3,082 put OI · bias +17.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +2.11% · tape +51.5 · corr 0.13
▼ low −59.5 ● peak +59 ◆ +118.8 in a day 09-24 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-10 $985 $966 Over 30 days, price has risen 2.11% while the tape has firmed 51.5 points. They agree.
22% hit rate · 260 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$984.91 → $984.91
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$972.55 → $972.55
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$979.15 → $979.15
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$965.88 → $965.88
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $1060 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PH
Why did the score drop from +43 to +15 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was −59.5 on 2 Oct, then rose to +59.3 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $965.88 to $972.55. It’s at +14.6 now.+8.1 from volume and +6.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 20:17 method · 62/38
Compare with ITW Why is our PH record what it is? What’s the $1060 wall?