PNC PNC Financial Services Group Inc
$221.03 · +0.00% vs $221.03 close · scored 10:55 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 66/100
What changed
Composite weakened 3.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.6 composite┆ +21.0 yesterday (−3.4) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 22% today
640 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.86
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.2 pts
409 calls · 63.9% 231 puts
bias +27.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.4 pts
4,264 call OI · 50.5% 4,182 put OI
bias +1.0 × 0.38
Equals
+17.6
98% of the score comes from today’s volume, 2% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.17% · tape +37.9 · corr -0.83
● peak +48 ▼ low −7.3 ◆ −54.9 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $226 $221 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.17% while the tape has firmed 37.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 85 · 640 contracts
pass Stable 0.86 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
pass Tape has led price tape has led PNC’s price by 3 days (r=-0.23, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PNC is poor 3% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 0.35×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $221.03. The $240 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,497). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
3 Oct · 4h
$221.03 → $221.03
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$222.01 → $222.01
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$220.75 → $220.75
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$220.75 → $220.75
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1180 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 11.77 · fwd 10.96 Beta 0.924
52w $176.88–$258.96 IV rank —
Ask about PNC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +21 to +18 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +21.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +17.6 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $220.75 to $221.03. It’s at +17.6 now.+17.2 from volume and +0.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 10:55 method · 62/38
Compare with JPM Why is our PNC record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?
What our data projects
+0.27 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#134 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
PNC Financial Services Group Inc · Banking
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.6 ┆ +21.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +18
+17.2 volume · 64% calls+0.4 OI · 50% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −54.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $226 $221 Price −8.17%, tape +37.9 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 85 · 640 contracts
pass Stable 0.86 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+17.2 pts
409 calls · 231 puts · bias +27.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.4 pts
4,264 call OI · 4,182 put OI · bias +1.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.17% · tape +37.9 · corr -0.83
● peak +48 ▼ low −7.3 ◆ −54.9 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $226 $221 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.17% while the tape has firmed 37.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
3% hit rate · 2000 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$221.03 → $221.03
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$222.01 → $222.01
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$220.75 → $220.75
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$220.75 → $220.75
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PNC
Why did the score drop from +21 to +18 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +21.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +17.6 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $220.75 to $221.03. It’s at +17.6 now.+17.2 from volume and +0.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 10:55 method · 62/38
Compare with JPM Why is our PNC record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?