PPL PPL Corp
$33.53 · +0.00% vs $33.53 close · scored 04:02 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 50/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 50/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.5 composite−13.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
50 / 100 · top 62% today
163 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+46.0 pts
142 calls · 87.1% 21 puts
bias +74.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.5 pts
22,234 call OI · 50.6% 21,669 put OI
bias +1.3 × 0.38
Equals
+46.5
99% of the score comes from today’s volume, 1% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.38% · tape +3.0 · corr 0.01
● peak +88 ◆ −82.4 in a day ▼ low −19.9 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $35 $32 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.38% while the tape has barely moved (+3.0). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (38th pct) · quality 76 · 163 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led PPL’s price by 2 days (r=0.49, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PPL is poor 25% hit rate on 243 closed calls · payoff 2.94×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $33.53. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14,066).
3 Oct · 4h
$32.80 → $32.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.76 → $32.76
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.76 → $32.76
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$32.68 → $32.68
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 141 of these 243 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 19.68 · fwd 15.90 Beta 0.584
52w $31.56–$40.11 IV rank —
Ask about PPL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +60 to +47 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +60.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +46.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $32.76 to $32.80. It’s at +46.5 now.+46.0 from volume and +0.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 04:02 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our PPL record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?
What our data projects
−0.26 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#459 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
PPL Corp · Utilities
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +47
+46.0 volume · 87% calls+0.5 OI · 51% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −82.4 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $35 $32 Price −5.38%, tape +3.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (38th pct) · quality 76 · 163 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+46.0 pts
142 calls · 21 puts · bias +74.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.5 pts
22,234 call OI · 21,669 put OI · bias +1.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.38% · tape +3.0 · corr 0.01
● peak +88 ◆ −82.4 in a day ▼ low −19.9 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $35 $32 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.38% while the tape has barely moved (+3.0). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
25% hit rate · 243 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$32.80 → $32.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.76 → $32.76
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.76 → $32.76
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$32.68 → $32.68
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PPL
Why did the score drop from +60 to +47 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +60.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +46.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $32.76 to $32.80. It’s at +46.5 now.+46.0 from volume and +0.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 04:02 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our PPL record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?