PRU Prudential Financial Inc
$112.60 · +0.00% vs $112.60 close · scored 05:12 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+24.5 composite+26.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 50% today
1,606 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+25.4 pts
1,132 calls · 70.5% 474 puts
bias +41.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.9 pts
36,759 call OI · 48.8% 38,639 put OI
bias −2.5 × 0.38
Equals
+24.5
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.68% · tape +49.5 · corr -0.53
▼ low −53.5 ◆ −79.0 in a day ● peak +54 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $123 $113 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.68% while the tape has firmed 49.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 78 · 1,606 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 71
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
pass Tape has led price tape has led PRU’s price by 1 day (r=-0.25, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PRU is poor 24% hit rate on 261 closed calls · payoff 1.04×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $112.60. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9,973).
3 Oct · 4h
$112.60 → $112.60
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$112.04 → $112.04
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$113.13 → $113.13
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$113.13 → $113.13
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 141 of these 261 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 9.92 · fwd 7.95 Beta 0.845
52w $91.89–$127.72 IV rank —
Ask about PRU answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +54 to +24 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +54.0 on 1 Oct, then fell to −2.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $113.58 to $113.13. It’s at +24.5 now.+25.4 from volume and −0.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 05:12 method · 62/38
Compare with TRV Why is our PRU record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?
What our data projects
−0.26 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#461 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Prudential Financial Inc · Insurance
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+24.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +24
+25.4 volume · 70% calls−0.9 OI · 49% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −79.0 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $123 $113 Price −5.68%, tape +49.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 78 · 1,606 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 71
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+25.4 pts
1,132 calls · 474 puts · bias +41.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.9 pts
36,759 call OI · 38,639 put OI · bias −2.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.68% · tape +49.5 · corr -0.53
▼ low −53.5 ◆ −79.0 in a day ● peak +54 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $123 $113 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.68% while the tape has firmed 49.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
24% hit rate · 261 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$112.60 → $112.60
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$112.04 → $112.04
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$113.13 → $113.13
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$113.13 → $113.13
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PRU
Why did the score drop from +54 to +24 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +54.0 on 1 Oct, then fell to −2.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $113.58 to $113.13. It’s at +24.5 now.+25.4 from volume and −0.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 05:12 method · 62/38
Compare with TRV Why is our PRU record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?