PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc
$11.30 · +0.00% vs $11.30 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 78/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 78/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.1 composite┆ +23.1 yesterday (+0.0) −21.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
78 / 100 · top 5% today
8,227 contracts · quality 91 · stability 0.90
hasn’t paid −0.76% · n=9,666
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.9 pts
5,300 calls · 64.4% 2,927 puts
bias +28.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.2 pts
91,536 call OI · 56.8% 69,578 put OI
bias +13.6 × 0.38
Equals
+23.1
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.28% · tape −51.2 · corr 0.51
● peak +68 ◆ −44.4 in a day ▼ low +16.7 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $14 $11 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.28% while the tape has faded 51.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 91 · 8,227 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.76% avg, n=9,666
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PURR’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.33, n=43)
against Our record on PURR is poor 14% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 0.69×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $11.30 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 37,921). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on PURR Proof 14%
hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 972 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 46.12 Beta 1.141
52w $3.01–$14.76 IV rank —
Ask about PURR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +38 to +23 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.9 on 2 Oct, then fell to +16.7 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $12.03 to $11.89. It’s at +23.1 now.+17.9 from volume and +5.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with AMGN Why is our PURR record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?
What our data projects
+0.86 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#13 of 724 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Hyperliquid Strategies Inc · Biotechnology
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.1 ┆ +23.1 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.76% · n=9,666
Why it’s +23
+17.9 volume · 64% calls+5.2 OI · 57% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −44.4 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $14 $11 Price −5.28%, tape −51.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 91 · 8,227 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.76% avg, n=9,666
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PURR’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.33, n=43)
What traded today · 62%
+17.9 pts
5,300 calls · 2,927 puts · bias +28.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.2 pts
91,536 call OI · 69,578 put OI · bias +13.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.28% · tape −51.2 · corr 0.51
● peak +68 ◆ −44.4 in a day ▼ low +16.7 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $14 $11 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.28% while the tape has faded 51.2 points. They agree.
14% hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$11.30 → $11.30
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PURR
Why did the score drop from +38 to +23 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.9 on 2 Oct, then fell to +16.7 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $12.03 to $11.89. It’s at +23.1 now.+17.9 from volume and +5.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with AMGN Why is our PURR record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?