QFIN Qfin Holdings Inc
$6.18 · +0.00% vs $6.18 close · scored 03:03 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+83.6 composite+62.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 53% today
172 contracts · quality 46 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+59.1 pts
168 calls · 97.7% 4 puts
bias +95.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+24.5 pts
3,173 call OI · 82.2% 688 put OI
bias +64.4 × 0.38
Equals
+83.6
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −31.49% · tape +14.3 · corr -0.28
◆ −85.5 in a day ▼ low −11.8 ● peak +84 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-08 $9 $6 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 31.49% while the tape has firmed 14.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (47th pct) · quality 46 · 172 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led QFIN’s price by 1 day (r=0.28, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on QFIN is poor 24% hit rate on 253 closed calls · payoff 1.06×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $6.18 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,660). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on QFIN Proof 8 Oct · 4h
$6.18 → $6.18
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$6.46 → $6.46
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.55 → $6.55
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.55 → $6.55
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 157 of these 253 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 1.65 · fwd 2.89 Beta 0.541
52w $7.28–$31.65 IV rank —
Ask about QFIN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +21 to +84 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.8 on 2 Oct, then rose to +58.8 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $6.55 to $6.46. It’s at +83.6 now.+59.1 from volume and +24.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 03:03 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our QFIN record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?
What our data projects
+0.40 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#93 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Qfin Holdings Inc · Financial Services
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+83.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +84
+59.1 volume · 98% calls+24.5 OI · 82% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −85.5 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-08 $9 $6 Price −31.49%, tape +14.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (47th pct) · quality 46 · 172 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+59.1 pts
168 calls · 4 puts · bias +95.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+24.5 pts
3,173 call OI · 688 put OI · bias +64.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −31.49% · tape +14.3 · corr -0.28
◆ −85.5 in a day ▼ low −11.8 ● peak +84 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-08 $9 $6 Over 30 days, price has fallen 31.49% while the tape has firmed 14.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
24% hit rate · 253 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$6.18 → $6.18
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$6.46 → $6.46
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.55 → $6.55
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.55 → $6.55
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about QFIN
Why did the score rise from +21 to +84 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.8 on 2 Oct, then rose to +58.8 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $6.55 to $6.46. It’s at +83.6 now.+59.1 from volume and +24.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 03:03 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our QFIN record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?