ROAD Construction Partners Inc
$90.06 · +0.00% vs $90.06 close · scored 07:56 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 54/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 11.2 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.8 composite┆ −2.4 yesterday (+11.2) +11.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 53% today
56 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.73
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.6 pts
31 calls · 55.4% 25 puts
bias +10.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.2 pts
2,084 call OI · 52.9% 1,857 put OI
bias +5.8 × 0.38
Equals
+8.8
75% of the score comes from today’s volume, 25% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −12.22% · tape +28.5 · corr 0.05
● peak +52 ◆ −77.5 in a day ▼ low −28.3 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $115 $89 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 12.22% while the tape has firmed 28.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (47th pct) · quality 78 · 56 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
pass Tape has led price tape has led ROAD’s price by 2 days (r=-0.29, n=48)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on ROAD is poor 12% hit rate on 475 closed calls · payoff 0.40×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $90.06. The $100 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 357).
05 Our record on ROAD Proof 5 Oct · 4h
$89.29 → $89.29
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$91.70 → $91.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$90.15 → $90.15
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$90.60 → $90.60
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 271 of these 475 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 36.27 · fwd 25.08 Beta 0.950
52w $88.47–$151.00 IV rank —
Ask about ROAD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −2 to +9 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −2.4 on 4 Oct, then rose to +8.8 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $91.70 to $89.29. It’s at +8.8 now.+6.6 from volume and +2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 49 pts stock_scores · 07:56 method · 62/38
Compare with VMC Why is our ROAD record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?
What our data projects
−0.00 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#272 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Construction Partners Inc · Construction
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.8 ┆ −2.4 yday evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s +9
+6.6 volume · 55% calls+2.2 OI · 53% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −77.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $115 $89 Price −12.22%, tape +28.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (47th pct) · quality 78 · 56 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+6.6 pts
31 calls · 25 puts · bias +10.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.2 pts
2,084 call OI · 1,857 put OI · bias +5.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −12.22% · tape +28.5 · corr 0.05
● peak +52 ◆ −77.5 in a day ▼ low −28.3 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $115 $89 Over 30 days, price has fallen 12.22% while the tape has firmed 28.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
12% hit rate · 475 closed
5 Oct · 4h
$89.29 → $89.29
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$91.70 → $91.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$90.15 → $90.15
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$90.60 → $90.60
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ROAD
Why did the score rise from −2 to +9 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −2.4 on 4 Oct, then rose to +8.8 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $91.70 to $89.29. It’s at +8.8 now.+6.6 from volume and +2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 49 pts stock_scores · 07:56 method · 62/38
Compare with VMC Why is our ROAD record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?