ROKU Roku Inc
$153.89 · +0.05% vs $153.81 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 63/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 2.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+35.7 composite┆ +33.1 yesterday (+2.6) −10.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
1,840 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.73
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+40.1 pts
1,515 calls · 82.3% 325 puts
bias +64.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.4 pts
6,485 call OI · 44.3% 8,170 put OI
bias −11.5 × 0.38
Equals
+35.7
90% of the score comes from today’s volume, 10% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.71% · tape −6.3 · corr 0.07
● peak +47 ▼ low −52.9 ◆ −99.5 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $158 $151 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.71% while the tape has faded 6.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 83 · 1,840 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led ROKU’s tape by 2 days (r=0.17, n=43)
against Our record on ROKU is poor 24% hit rate on 293 closed calls · payoff 0.97×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $153.89 highlighted. The $140 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,057). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ROKU Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$153.89 → $153.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$153.81 → $153.89
+0.05% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$153.81 → $153.89
+0.05% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$153.81 → $153.81
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 165 of these 293 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 63.71 · fwd 44.00 Beta 2.122
52w $78.53–$159.89 IV rank —
Ask about ROKU answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +47 to +36 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +46.5 on 6 Oct, then fell to −52.9 on 7 Oct as the price moved from $152.00 to $152.39. It’s at +35.7 now.+40.1 from volume and −4.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our ROKU record what it is? What’s the $140 wall?
What our data projects
−0.06 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#356 of 724 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $140 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Roku Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+35.7 ┆ +33.1 yday evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +36
+40.1 volume · 82% calls−4.4 OI · 44% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −99.5 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $158 $151 Price +0.71%, tape −6.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 83 · 1,840 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led ROKU’s tape by 2 days (r=0.17, n=43)
against Our record on ROKU is poor 24% hit rate on 293 closed calls · payoff 0.97×
What traded today · 62%
+40.1 pts
1,515 calls · 325 puts · bias +64.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.4 pts
6,485 call OI · 8,170 put OI · bias −11.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.71% · tape −6.3 · corr 0.07
● peak +47 ▼ low −52.9 ◆ −99.5 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $158 $151 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.71% while the tape has faded 6.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
24% hit rate · 293 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$153.89 → $153.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$153.81 → $153.89
+0.05% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$153.81 → $153.89
+0.05% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$153.81 → $153.81
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $140 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ROKU
Why did the score drop from +47 to +36 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +46.5 on 6 Oct, then fell to −52.9 on 7 Oct as the price moved from $152.00 to $152.39. It’s at +35.7 now.+40.1 from volume and −4.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our ROKU record what it is? What’s the $140 wall?