RTX RTX Corp
$184.32 · +0.00% vs $184.32 close · scored 14:19 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 72/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 72/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.1 composite┆ +27.1 yesterday (+0.0) −9.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
72 / 100 · top 11% today
4,731 contracts · quality 88 · stability 0.85
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+18.0 pts
3,053 calls · 64.5% 1,678 puts
bias +29.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.1 pts
20,136 call OI · 62.0% 12,346 put OI
bias +24.0 × 0.38
Equals
+27.1
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.70% · tape +15.7 · corr -0.39
● peak +73 ◆ −44.9 in a day ▼ low −3.9 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $212 $180 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.70% while the tape has firmed 15.7 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 72 (89th pct) · quality 88 · 4,731 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RTX’s tape by 2 days (r=0.19, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on RTX is poor 20% hit rate on 291 closed calls · payoff 0.43×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $184.32 highlighted. The $185 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,058). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 152 of these 291 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 32.08 · fwd 24.89 Beta 0.299
52w $155.64–$226.88 IV rank —
Ask about RTX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +36 to +27 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +36.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to +26.2 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $184.23 to $180.26. It’s at +27.1 now.+18.0 from volume and +9.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:19 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our RTX record what it is? What’s the $185 wall?
What our data projects
−0.07 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#313 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $185 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
RTX Corp · Aerospace & Defense
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.1 ┆ +27.1 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +27
+18.0 volume · 65% calls+9.1 OI · 62% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −44.9 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $212 $180 Price −6.70%, tape +15.7 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 72 (89th pct) · quality 88 · 4,731 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RTX’s tape by 2 days (r=0.19, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+18.0 pts
3,053 calls · 1,678 puts · bias +29.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.1 pts
20,136 call OI · 12,346 put OI · bias +24.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.70% · tape +15.7 · corr -0.39
● peak +73 ◆ −44.9 in a day ▼ low −3.9 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $212 $180 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.70% while the tape has firmed 15.7 points. The two are drifting apart.
20% hit rate · 291 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$184.32 → $184.32
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $185 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RTX
Why did the score drop from +36 to +27 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +36.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to +26.2 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $184.23 to $180.26. It’s at +27.1 now.+18.0 from volume and +9.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:19 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our RTX record what it is? What’s the $185 wall?