RUN Sunrun Inc
$7.59 · +0.19% vs $7.58 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 70/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 70/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.5 composite┆ +28.5 yesterday (+0.0) +5.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
70 / 100 · top 14% today
4,476 contracts · quality 87 · stability 0.80
has paid +35.42% · n=10,494
What traded today · weight 62%
−0.2 pts
2,230 calls · 49.8% 2,246 puts
bias −0.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+28.7 pts
106,176 call OI · 87.7% 14,855 put OI
bias +75.5 × 0.38
Equals
+28.5
1% of the score comes from today’s volume, 99% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −18.22% · tape −42.1 · corr 0.15
● peak +83 ▼ low −3.5 ◆ +58.9 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $9 $8 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 18.22% while the tape has faded 42.1 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 87 · 4,476 contracts
pass Stable 0.80 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +35.42% avg, n=10,494
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RUN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.38, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on RUN is poor 17% hit rate on 1501 closed calls · payoff 1.65×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $7.59 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 69,830). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
17%
hit rate · 1501 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$7.59 → $7.59
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.59 → $7.59
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.59 → $7.59
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.58 → $7.59
+0.19% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 433 of these 1501 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 4.43 · fwd 12.09 Beta 2.364
52w $7.42–$22.44 IV rank —
Ask about RUN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +23 to +28 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +23.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to +71.1 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $7.64 to $7.71. It’s at +28.5 now.−0.2 from volume and +28.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our RUN record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?
What our data projects
+0.50 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#66 of 724 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Sunrun Inc · Electrical Equipment
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.5 ┆ +28.5 yday evidence
has paid +35.42% · n=10,494
Why it’s +28
−0.2 volume · 50% calls+28.7 OI · 88% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +58.9 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $9 $8 Price −18.22%, tape −42.1 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 87 · 4,476 contracts
pass Stable 0.80 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RUN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.38, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−0.2 pts
2,230 calls · 2,246 puts · bias −0.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+28.7 pts
106,176 call OI · 14,855 put OI · bias +75.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −18.22% · tape −42.1 · corr 0.15
● peak +83 ▼ low −3.5 ◆ +58.9 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $9 $8 Over 30 days, price has fallen 18.22% while the tape has faded 42.1 points. They agree.
17% hit rate · 1501 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$7.59 → $7.59
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.59 → $7.59
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.59 → $7.59
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.58 → $7.59
+0.19% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RUN
Why did the score rise from +23 to +28 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +23.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to +71.1 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $7.64 to $7.71. It’s at +28.5 now.−0.2 from volume and +28.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our RUN record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?