SCHW Charles Schwab Corp
$96.53 · −0.36% vs $96.87 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 67/100
What changed
Composite weakened 3.0 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.5 composite┆ +5.5 yesterday (−3.0) +9.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
5,913 contracts · quality 90 · stability 0.85
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
+1.3 pts
3,019 calls · 51.1% 2,894 puts
bias +2.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.2 pts
49,774 call OI · 51.6% 46,718 put OI
bias +3.2 × 0.38
Equals
+2.5
52% of the score comes from today’s volume, 48% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.48% · tape −3.1 · corr 0.14
▼ low −48.2 ◆ −46.5 in a day ● peak +6 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $110 $97 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.48% while the tape has barely moved (−3.1). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 90 · 5,913 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SCHW’s tape by 3 days (r=0.31, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on SCHW is poor 7% hit rate on 1318 closed calls · payoff 1.07×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $96.53 highlighted. The $105 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 12,814). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SCHW Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$96.53 → $96.53
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$96.87 → $96.53
−0.36% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$97.15 → $96.53
−0.64% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$96.87 → $96.53
−0.36% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1092 of these 1318 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 16.68 · fwd 13.41 Beta 0.751
52w $83.96–$114.53 IV rank —
Ask about SCHW answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −48 to +3 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −48.2 on 1 Oct, then rose to −7.1 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $97.74 to $98.77. It’s at +2.5 now.+1.3 from volume and +1.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our SCHW record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?
What our data projects
+0.41 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#92 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Charles Schwab Corp · Financial Services
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.5 ┆ +5.5 yday evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s +3
+1.3 volume · 51% calls+1.2 OI · 52% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −46.5 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $110 $97 Price −9.48%, tape −3.1 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 90 · 5,913 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SCHW’s tape by 3 days (r=0.31, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+1.3 pts
3,019 calls · 2,894 puts · bias +2.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.2 pts
49,774 call OI · 46,718 put OI · bias +3.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.48% · tape −3.1 · corr 0.14
▼ low −48.2 ◆ −46.5 in a day ● peak +6 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $110 $97 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.48% while the tape has barely moved (−3.1). They agree.
7% hit rate · 1318 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$96.53 → $96.53
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$96.87 → $96.53
−0.36% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$97.15 → $96.53
−0.64% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$96.87 → $96.53
−0.36% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SCHW
Why did the score rise from −48 to +3 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −48.2 on 1 Oct, then rose to −7.1 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $97.74 to $98.77. It’s at +2.5 now.+1.3 from volume and +1.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our SCHW record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?