SHW Sherwin-Williams Co
$321.03 · +0.00% vs $321.03 close · scored 04:40 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+53.4 composite+45.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
2,697 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+50.4 pts
2,444 calls · 90.6% 253 puts
bias +81.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.0 pts
12,607 call OI · 54.0% 10,739 put OI
bias +8.0 × 0.38
Equals
+53.4
94% of the score comes from today’s volume, 6% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.80% · tape +41.2 · corr 0.18
▼ low −45.3 ◆ −79.3 in a day ● peak +53 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $349 $320 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.80% while the tape has firmed 41.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 78 · 2,697 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
pass Tape has led price tape has led SHW’s price by 2 days (r=-0.34, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on SHW is poor 31% hit rate on 270 closed calls · payoff 0.65×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $321.03 highlighted. The $300 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,300). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$321.03 → $321.03
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$319.51 → $319.51
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$319.51 → $319.51
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$320.78 → $320.78
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 127 of these 270 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 28.50 · fwd 24.92 Beta 1.067
52w $289.86–$377.77 IV rank —
Ask about SHW answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +7 to +53 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +4.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +53.4 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $319.51 to $321.03. It’s at +53.4 now.+50.4 from volume and +3.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 04:40 method · 62/38
Compare with DOW Why is our SHW record what it is? What’s the $300 wall?
What our data projects
−0.25 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#523 of 724 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $300 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Sherwin-Williams Co · Chemicals
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+53.4 evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +53
+50.4 volume · 91% calls+3.0 OI · 54% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −79.3 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $349 $320 Price −3.80%, tape +41.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 78 · 2,697 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on SHW is poor 31% hit rate on 270 closed calls · payoff 0.65×
What traded today · 62%
+50.4 pts
2,444 calls · 253 puts · bias +81.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.0 pts
12,607 call OI · 10,739 put OI · bias +8.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.80% · tape +41.2 · corr 0.18
▼ low −45.3 ◆ −79.3 in a day ● peak +53 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $349 $320 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.80% while the tape has firmed 41.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
31% hit rate · 270 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$321.03 → $321.03
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$319.51 → $319.51
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$319.51 → $319.51
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$320.78 → $320.78
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $300 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SHW
Why did the score rise from +7 to +53 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +4.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +53.4 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $319.51 to $321.03. It’s at +53.4 now.+50.4 from volume and +3.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 04:40 method · 62/38
Compare with DOW Why is our SHW record what it is? What’s the $300 wall?