SNAP Snap Inc
$5.86 · +0.00% vs $5.86 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 82/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 82/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+64.2 composite┆ +64.2 yesterday (+0.0) +6.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
82 / 100 · top 3% today
20,718 contracts · quality 94 · stability 0.92
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+45.5 pts
17,968 calls · 86.7% 2,750 puts
bias +73.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.6 pts
185,361 call OI · 74.5% 63,482 put OI
bias +49.0 × 0.38
Equals
+64.2
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.93% · tape +2.9 · corr 0.07
● peak +74 ▼ low +56.9 ◆ −17.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $6 $5 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 6.93% while the tape has barely moved (+2.9). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 82 (97th pct) · quality 94 · 20,718 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SNAP’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.38, n=45)
against Our record on SNAP is poor 23% hit rate on 1009 closed calls · payoff 1.15×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $5.86 highlighted. The $6 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 87,145). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SNAP Proof 23%
hit rate · 1009 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$5.86 → $5.86
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$5.86 → $5.86
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$5.86 → $5.86
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$5.87 → $5.86
−0.20% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 220 of these 1009 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.234
52w $3.81–$9.13 IV rank —
Ask about SNAP answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +68 to +64 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +68.0 on 1 Oct, then fell to +57.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $5.41 to $5.65. It’s at +64.2 now.+45.5 from volume and +18.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our SNAP record what it is? What’s the $6 wall?
What our data projects
+0.44 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#78 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $6 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Snap Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+64.2 ┆ +64.2 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +64
+45.5 volume · 87% calls+18.6 OI · 74% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −17.6 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $6 $5 Price +6.93%, tape +2.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 82 (97th pct) · quality 94 · 20,718 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SNAP’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.38, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+45.5 pts
17,968 calls · 2,750 puts · bias +73.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.6 pts
185,361 call OI · 63,482 put OI · bias +49.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.93% · tape +2.9 · corr 0.07
● peak +74 ▼ low +56.9 ◆ −17.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $6 $5 Over 30 days, price has risen 6.93% while the tape has barely moved (+2.9). They agree.
23% hit rate · 1009 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$5.86 → $5.86
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$5.86 → $5.86
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$5.86 → $5.86
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$5.87 → $5.86
−0.20% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $6 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SNAP
Why did the score drop from +68 to +64 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +68.0 on 1 Oct, then fell to +57.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $5.41 to $5.65. It’s at +64.2 now.+45.5 from volume and +18.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our SNAP record what it is? What’s the $6 wall?