SO Southern Co
$84.00 · +0.00% vs $84.00 close · scored 11:34 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.2 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
3,355 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+27.0 pts
2,409 calls · 71.8% 946 puts
bias +43.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.2 pts
16,167 call OI · 64.7% 8,821 put OI
bias +29.4 × 0.38
Equals
+38.2
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.66% · tape −2.7 · corr 0.03
▼ low −46.9 ● peak +65 ◆ +79.2 in a day 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $90 $82 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.66% while the tape has barely moved (−2.7). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 78 · 3,355 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led SO’s price by 1 day (r=0.24, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on SO is poor 8% hit rate on 1304 closed calls · payoff 1.13×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $84.00. The $85 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,001). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
2 Oct · 4h
$84.00 → $84.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.20 → $83.20
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.47 → $83.47
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$83.30 → $83.30
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1083 of these 1304 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 22.02 · fwd 19.76 Beta 0.303
52w $83.80–$100.84 IV rank —
Ask about SO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −13 to +38 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −13.1 on 1 Oct, then rose to +38.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $82.89 to $83.47. It’s at +38.2 now. Today’s +38.2 breaks down as +27.0 from volume and +11.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 11:34 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our SO record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?
What our data projects
−0.23 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#437 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Southern Co · Utilities
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.2 evidence 61
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +38
+27.0 volume · 72% calls+11.2 OI · 65% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +79.2 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $90 $82
Price −4.66%, tape −2.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 78 · 3,355 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+27.0 pts
2,409 calls · 946 puts · bias +43.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.2 pts
16,167 call OI · 8,821 put OI · bias +29.4
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.66% · tape −2.7 · corr 0.03
▼ low −46.9 ● peak +65 ◆ +79.2 in a day 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $90 $82 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.66% while the tape has barely moved (−2.7). They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
8% hit rate · 1304 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$84.00 → $84.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.20 → $83.20
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$83.47 → $83.47
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$83.30 → $83.30
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SO
Why did the score rise from −13 to +38 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −13.1 on 1 Oct, then rose to +38.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $82.89 to $83.47. It’s at +38.2 now. Today’s +38.2 breaks down as +27.0 from volume and +11.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 11:34 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our SO record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?