SOFI SoFi Technologies Inc
$15.76 · +0.96% vs $15.61 close · scored 15:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 89/100
What changed
Composite weakened 4.7 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 89/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+25.2 composite┆ +29.9 yesterday (−4.7) −17.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
89 / 100 · top 1% today
61,408 contracts · quality 96 · stability 0.95
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.5 pts
36,916 calls · 60.1% 24,492 puts
bias +20.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.6 pts
465,582 call OI · 66.6% 233,033 put OI
bias +33.3 × 0.38
Equals
+25.2
50% of the score comes from today’s volume, 50% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.33% · tape −10.7 · corr -0.07
● peak +47 ◆ −16.0 in a day ▼ low +19.8 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $19 $16 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.33% while the tape has faded 10.7 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 89 (99th pct) · quality 96 · 61,408 contracts
pass Stable 0.95 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SOFI’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.26, n=50)
against Our record on SOFI is poor 25% hit rate on 702 closed calls · payoff 1.76×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.76 highlighted. The $16 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 94,810). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SOFI Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$15.76 → $15.76
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.49 → $15.76
+1.78% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$15.61 → $15.76
+0.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$15.61 → $15.76
+0.96% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 400 of these 702 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 31.99 · fwd 22.47 Beta 2.287
52w $14.88–$32.73 IV rank —
Ask about SOFI answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +42 to +25 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to +28.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $15.76 to $15.66. It’s at +25.2 now.+12.5 from volume and +12.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our SOFI record what it is? What’s the $16 wall?
What our data projects
+0.19 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#172 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $16 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
SoFi Technologies Inc · Financial Services
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+25.2 ┆ +29.9 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +25
+12.5 volume · 60% calls+12.6 OI · 67% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −16.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $19 $16 Price −13.33%, tape −10.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 89 (99th pct) · quality 96 · 61,408 contracts
pass Stable 0.95 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SOFI’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.26, n=50)
against Our record on SOFI is poor 25% hit rate on 702 closed calls · payoff 1.76×
What traded today · 62%
+12.5 pts
36,916 calls · 24,492 puts · bias +20.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.6 pts
465,582 call OI · 233,033 put OI · bias +33.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.33% · tape −10.7 · corr -0.07
● peak +47 ◆ −16.0 in a day ▼ low +19.8 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $19 $16 Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.33% while the tape has faded 10.7 points. They agree.
25% hit rate · 702 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$15.76 → $15.76
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$15.49 → $15.76
+1.78% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$15.61 → $15.76
+0.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$15.61 → $15.76
+0.96% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $16 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SOFI
Why did the score drop from +42 to +25 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to +28.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $15.76 to $15.66. It’s at +25.2 now.+12.5 from volume and +12.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our SOFI record what it is? What’s the $16 wall?