XLY has the strongest read; SPY has the most behind it.
Both lean bearish. The difference is evidence and record: SPY’s read rests on 14,221,662 contracts but our 4h record on it is 3%; XLY’s bucket has paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bearish | Strongly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||
| Composite | −19.5 | −31.1 |
| Evidence | 80 | 62 |
| Quality | 85 | 79 |
| Price | $776.93 | $110.04 |
| Contracts today | 14,221,662 | 2,134 |
| Calibration | has paid −0.21% · n=201 | has paid −0.38% · n=14,059 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||
| Our record here, 4h | 3% of 1,123 checked | 17% of 410 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
SPYXLYtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.