SRE Sempra
$80.08 · +0.00% vs $80.08 close · scored 14:28 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 59/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−4.8 composite−14.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 40% today
1,953 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
What traded today · weight 62%
−10.8 pts
806 calls · 41.3% 1,147 puts
bias −17.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+6.0 pts
10,844 call OI · 57.9% 7,885 put OI
bias +15.8 × 0.38
Equals
−4.8
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.71% · tape +10.0 · corr 0.37
▼ low −22.0 ◆ +19.8 in a day ● peak +21 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $80 $77 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.71% while the tape has firmed 10.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 77 · 1,953 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SRE’s tape by 3 days (r=0.49, n=44)
against Our record on SRE is poor 18% hit rate on 282 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $80.08 highlighted. The $85 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,005).
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 159 of these 282 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 22.25 · fwd 14.97 Beta 0.572
52w $76.21–$101.04 IV rank —
Ask about SRE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +10 to −5 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +9.6 on 7 Oct, then fell to −4.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $79.97 to $79.97. It’s at −4.8 now.−10.8 from volume and +6.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:28 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our SRE record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?
What our data projects
−0.28 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#478 of 635 · helped by tape composite, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Sempra · Utilities
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−4.8 evidence
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
Why it’s −5
−10.8 volume · 41% calls+6.0 OI · 58% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +19.8 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $80 $77 Price −4.71%, tape +10.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 77 · 1,953 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led SRE’s tape by 3 days (r=0.49, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−10.8 pts
806 calls · 1,147 puts · bias −17.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+6.0 pts
10,844 call OI · 7,885 put OI · bias +15.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.71% · tape +10.0 · corr 0.37
▼ low −22.0 ◆ +19.8 in a day ● peak +21 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $80 $77 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.71% while the tape has firmed 10.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
18% hit rate · 282 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$80.08 → $80.08
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SRE
Why did the score drop from +10 to −5 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +9.6 on 7 Oct, then fell to −4.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $79.97 to $79.97. It’s at −4.8 now.−10.8 from volume and +6.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:28 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our SRE record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?