T AT&T Inc
$23.25 · +0.00% vs $23.25 close · scored 04:40 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 87/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 26.5 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 87/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+58.2 composite┆ +31.7 yesterday (+26.5) +45.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
87 / 100 · top 2% today
124,536 contracts · quality 92 · stability 0.80
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+50.3 pts
112,739 calls · 90.5% 11,797 puts
bias +81.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.0 pts
620,880 call OI · 60.5% 405,769 put OI
bias +21.0 × 0.38
Equals
+58.2
86% of the score comes from today’s volume, 14% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.46% · tape +60.1 · corr -0.53
▼ low +10.8 ● peak +58 ◆ +26.5 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $26 $23 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.46% while the tape has firmed 60.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 87 (98th pct) · quality 92 · 124,536 contracts
note Jumpy 0.80 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led T’s price by 2 days (r=0.19, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on T is poor 12% hit rate on 1373 closed calls · payoff 1.32×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $23.25 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 155,564). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
12%
hit rate · 1373 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$23.25 → $23.25
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$24.30 → $24.30
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$24.38 → $24.38
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$24.30 → $24.30
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1133 of these 1373 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 7.69 · fwd 10.01 Beta 0.266
52w $19.89–$29.44 IV rank —
Ask about T answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +24 to +58 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +31.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +58.2 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $24.26 to $23.25. It’s at +58.2 now.+50.3 from volume and +8.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 04:40 method · 62/38
Compare with TMUS Why is our T record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?
What our data projects
+0.62 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#39 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
AT&T Inc · Telecommunication
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+58.2 ┆ +31.7 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +58
+50.3 volume · 91% calls+8.0 OI · 60% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +26.5 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $26 $23 Price −9.46%, tape +60.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 87 (98th pct) · quality 92 · 124,536 contracts
note Jumpy 0.80 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on T is poor 12% hit rate on 1373 closed calls · payoff 1.32×
What traded today · 62%
+50.3 pts
112,739 calls · 11,797 puts · bias +81.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.0 pts
620,880 call OI · 405,769 put OI · bias +21.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.46% · tape +60.1 · corr -0.53
▼ low +10.8 ● peak +58 ◆ +26.5 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $26 $23 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.46% while the tape has firmed 60.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
12% hit rate · 1373 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$23.25 → $23.25
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$24.30 → $24.30
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$24.38 → $24.38
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$24.30 → $24.30
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about T
Why did the score rise from +24 to +58 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +31.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +58.2 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $24.26 to $23.25. It’s at +58.2 now.+50.3 from volume and +8.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 04:40 method · 62/38
Compare with TMUS Why is our T record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?