TFC Truist Financial Corp
$46.18 · +0.00% vs $46.18 close · scored 11:27 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 55/100
What changed
Composite weakened 42.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.6 composite┆ +5.0 yesterday (−42.6) −19.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 50% today
833 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.81
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−48.3 pts
92 calls · 11.0% 741 puts
bias −77.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.7 pts
18,336 call OI · 64.1% 10,251 put OI
bias +28.3 × 0.38
Equals
−37.6
82% of the score comes from today’s volume, 18% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.84% · tape −99.8 · corr 0.58
● peak +20 ◆ +51.7 in a day ▼ low −37.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $49 $46 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.84% while the tape has faded 99.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 60 · 833 contracts
pass Stable 0.81 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
pass Tape has led price tape has led TFC’s price by 3 days (r=0.23, n=44)
against Our record on TFC is poor 34% hit rate on 295 closed calls · payoff 1.23×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $46.18 highlighted. The $50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9,532). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 159 of these 295 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 9.68 · fwd 9.83 Beta 0.897
52w $40.78–$56.20 IV rank —
Ask about TFC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from −18 to −38 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +0.3 on 8 Oct, then fell to −37.6 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $45.58 to $46.18. It’s at −37.6 now.−48.3 from volume and +10.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 11:27 method · 62/38
Compare with JPM Why is our TFC record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?
What our data projects
−0.53 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#583 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Truist Financial Corp · Banking
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.6 ┆ +5.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −38
−48.3 volume · 11% calls+10.7 OI · 64% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +51.7 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $49 $46 Price −8.84%, tape −99.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 60 · 833 contracts
pass Stable 0.81 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
against Our record on TFC is poor 34% hit rate on 295 closed calls · payoff 1.23×
What traded today · 62%
−48.3 pts
92 calls · 741 puts · bias −77.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.7 pts
18,336 call OI · 10,251 put OI · bias +28.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.84% · tape −99.8 · corr 0.58
● peak +20 ◆ +51.7 in a day ▼ low −37.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $49 $46 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.84% while the tape has faded 99.8 points. They agree.
34% hit rate · 295 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$46.18 → $46.18
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TFC
Why did the score drop from −18 to −38 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +0.3 on 8 Oct, then fell to −37.6 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $45.58 to $46.18. It’s at −37.6 now.−48.3 from volume and +10.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 11:27 method · 62/38
Compare with JPM Why is our TFC record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?