TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
$653.09 · +0.17% vs $651.98 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.4 composite┆ +15.5 yesterday (−0.1) +23.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
3,444 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.70
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+13.2 pts
2,090 calls · 60.7% 1,354 puts
bias +21.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.2 pts
10,663 call OI · 52.8% 9,521 put OI
bias +5.7 × 0.38
Equals
+15.4
86% of the score comes from today’s volume, 14% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +8.12% · tape +35.4 · corr -0.15
◆ −100.6 in a day ● peak +53 ▼ low −53.6 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $679 $601 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 8.12% while the tape has firmed 35.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 83 · 3,444 contracts
note Jumpy 0.70 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led TMO’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.26, n=44)
against Our record on TMO is poor 24% hit rate on 283 closed calls · payoff 0.61×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $653.09 highlighted. The $750 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,811). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$653.09 → $653.09
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$655.52 → $653.09
−0.37% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$651.98 → $653.09
+0.17% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$651.98 → $653.09
+0.17% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 141 of these 283 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 35.33 · fwd 24.57 Beta 0.858
52w $435.27–$683.63 IV rank —
Ask about TMO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −23 to +15 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −15.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +11.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $654.80 to $676.76. It’s at +15.4 now.+13.2 from volume and +2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with PACB Why is our TMO record what it is? What’s the $750 wall?
What our data projects
+0.09 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#218 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $750 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc · Life Sciences Tools & Services
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.4 ┆ +15.5 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +15
+13.2 volume · 61% calls+2.2 OI · 53% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −100.6 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $679 $601 Price +8.12%, tape +35.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 83 · 3,444 contracts
note Jumpy 0.70 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led TMO’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.26, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+13.2 pts
2,090 calls · 1,354 puts · bias +21.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.2 pts
10,663 call OI · 9,521 put OI · bias +5.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +8.12% · tape +35.4 · corr -0.15
◆ −100.6 in a day ● peak +53 ▼ low −53.6 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $679 $601 Over 30 days, price has risen 8.12% while the tape has firmed 35.4 points. They agree.
24% hit rate · 283 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$653.09 → $653.09
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$655.52 → $653.09
−0.37% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$651.98 → $653.09
+0.17% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$651.98 → $653.09
+0.17% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $750 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TMO
Why did the score rise from −23 to +15 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −15.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +11.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $654.80 to $676.76. It’s at +15.4 now.+13.2 from volume and +2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with PACB Why is our TMO record what it is? What’s the $750 wall?