TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
$214.81 · +2.60% vs $209.37 close · scored 15:44 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 58/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.8 composite+26.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 43% today
2,531 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.5 pts
1,623 calls · 64.1% 908 puts
bias +28.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−1.7 pts
33,109 call OI · 47.8% 36,176 put OI
bias −4.4 × 0.38
Equals
+15.8
91% of the score comes from today’s volume, 9% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.84% · tape +59.5 · corr 0.16
● peak +37 ▼ low −43.6 ◆ −78.6 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $235 $200 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.84% while the tape has firmed 59.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (57th pct) · quality 78 · 2,531 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 63
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led TTWO’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.24, n=44)
against Our record on TTWO is poor 13% hit rate on 301 closed calls · payoff 0.99×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $214.81 highlighted. The $185 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14,670). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on TTWO Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$214.81 → $214.81
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$209.37 → $214.81
+2.60% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$209.37 → $214.81
+2.60% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$209.37 → $214.81
+2.60% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 149 of these 301 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 24.56 Beta 0.911
52w $187.63–$265.94 IV rank —
Ask about TTWO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −11 to +16 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −12.5 on 7 Oct, then rose to +28.2 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $204.00 to $204.01. It’s at +15.8 now.+17.5 from volume and −1.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our TTWO record what it is? What’s the $185 wall?
What our data projects
−0.52 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#579 of 635. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $185 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc · Media
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.8 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +16
+17.5 volume · 64% calls−1.7 OI · 48% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −78.6 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $235 $200 Price −1.84%, tape +59.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (57th pct) · quality 78 · 2,531 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 63
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led TTWO’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.24, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+17.5 pts
1,623 calls · 908 puts · bias +28.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−1.7 pts
33,109 call OI · 36,176 put OI · bias −4.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.84% · tape +59.5 · corr 0.16
● peak +37 ▼ low −43.6 ◆ −78.6 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $235 $200 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.84% while the tape has firmed 59.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
13% hit rate · 301 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$214.81 → $214.81
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$209.37 → $214.81
+2.60% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$209.37 → $214.81
+2.60% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$209.37 → $214.81
+2.60% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $185 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TTWO
Why did the score rise from −11 to +16 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −12.5 on 7 Oct, then rose to +28.2 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $204.00 to $204.01. It’s at +15.8 now.+17.5 from volume and −1.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our TTWO record what it is? What’s the $185 wall?