USAR USAR
$10.23 · +0.00% vs $10.23 close · scored 02:24 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+53.3 composite
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 6% today
10,990 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.92% · n=6,043
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.8 pts
8,575 calls · 78.0% 2,415 puts
bias +56.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.5 pts
42,145 call OI · 74.4% 14,499 put OI
bias +48.8 × 0.38
Equals
+53.3
65% of the score comes from today’s volume, 35% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring USAR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (94th pct) · quality 80 · 10,990 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=6,043
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on USAR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.23 highlighted. The $12 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 6,807). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on USAR Proof 22 Oct · 4h
$10.23 → $10.23
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
USAR
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+53.3 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.92% · n=6,043
Why it’s +53
+34.8 volume · 78% calls+18.5 OI · 74% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (94th pct) · quality 80 · 10,990 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=6,043
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on USAR
What traded today · 62%
+34.8 pts
8,575 calls · 2,415 puts · bias +56.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.5 pts
42,145 call OI · 14,499 put OI · bias +48.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$10.23 → $10.23
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about USAR
Not enough tape history on USAR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our USAR record what it is? What’s the $12 wall?