VSAT Viasat Inc
$70.87 · +0.00% vs $70.87 close · scored 10:31 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 63/100
What changed
Composite weakened 43.1 points.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.3 composite┆ +72.4 yesterday (−43.1) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
361 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.79
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+15.6 pts
226 calls · 62.6% 135 puts
bias +25.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.6 pts
101,550 call OI · 67.9% 47,923 put OI
bias +35.9 × 0.38
Equals
+29.3
53% of the score comes from today’s volume, 47% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.06% · tape −35.4 · corr -0.16
● peak +79 ▼ low −33.8 ◆ +82.7 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-10 $78 $66 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.06% while the tape has faded 35.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 85 · 361 contracts
note Jumpy 0.79 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led VSAT’s price by 2 days (r=-0.26, n=51)
against Our record on VSAT is poor 15% hit rate on 895 closed calls · payoff 3.51×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $70.87. The $60 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 34,718).
05 Our record on VSAT Proof
3 Oct · 4h
$71.93 → $71.93
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$70.80 → $70.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$70.80 → $70.80
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$70.80 → $70.80
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 659 of these 895 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.783
52w $29.13–$93.03 IV rank —
Ask about VSAT answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +72 to +29 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +72.4 on 2 Oct, then fell to +29.3 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $70.80 to $71.93. It’s at +29.3 now. Today’s +29.3 breaks down as +15.6 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 10:31 method · 62/38
Compare with LTRX Why is our VSAT record what it is? What’s the $60 wall?
What our data projects
+0.20 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#167 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Viasat Inc · Communications
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.3 ┆ +72.4 yday evidence 63
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +29
+15.6 volume · 63% calls+13.6 OI · 68% calls
52 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +82.7 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-10 $78 $66
Price −2.06%, tape −35.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 85 · 361 contracts
note Jumpy 0.79 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
against Our record on VSAT is poor 15% hit rate on 895 closed calls · payoff 3.51×
What traded today · 62%
+15.6 pts
226 calls · 135 puts · bias +25.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.6 pts
101,550 call OI · 47,923 put OI · bias +35.9
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.06% · tape −35.4 · corr -0.16
● peak +79 ▼ low −33.8 ◆ +82.7 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-10 $78 $66 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.06% while the tape has faded 35.4 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
15% hit rate · 895 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$71.93 → $71.93
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$70.80 → $70.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$70.80 → $70.80
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$70.80 → $70.80
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VSAT
Why did the score drop from +72 to +29 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +72.4 on 2 Oct, then fell to +29.3 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $70.80 to $71.93. It’s at +29.3 now. Today’s +29.3 breaks down as +15.6 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 10:31 method · 62/38
Compare with LTRX Why is our VSAT record what it is? What’s the $60 wall?