VZ Verizon Communications Inc
$46.07 · +0.26% vs $45.95 close · scored 12:07 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 76/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 76/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+24.5 composite−12.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
76 / 100 · top 6% today
33,623 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.0 pts
21,972 calls · 65.3% 11,651 puts
bias +30.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.5 pts
516,818 call OI · 57.2% 386,530 put OI
bias +14.4 × 0.38
Equals
+24.5
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.50% · tape +39.1 · corr -0.10
● peak +55 ▼ low −14.6 ◆ −40.8 in a day 08-18 08-26 09-03 09-11 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-07 $51 $46 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.50% while the tape has firmed 39.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 82 · 33,623 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
pass Tape has led price tape has led VZ’s price by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=49)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on VZ is poor 11% hit rate on 1418 closed calls · payoff 1.67×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $46.07 highlighted. The $50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 107,902). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
11%
hit rate · 1418 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$46.07 → $46.07
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$45.95 → $45.95
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$46.09 → $46.09
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$45.98 → $45.98
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1135 of these 1418 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 12.07 · fwd 8.96 Beta 0.262
52w $38.39–$51.68 IV rank —
Ask about VZ answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +37 to +25 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +37.3 on 30 Sep, then fell to +20.8 on 1 Oct as the price moved from $50.22 to $45.87. It’s at +24.5 now.+19.0 from volume and +5.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 12:07 method · 62/38
Compare with T Why is our VZ record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?
What our data projects
−0.24 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#443 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Verizon Communications Inc · Telecommunication
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+24.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +25
+19.0 volume · 65% calls+5.5 OI · 57% calls
50 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −40.8 08-18 08-26 09-03 09-11 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-07 $51 $46 Price −8.50%, tape +39.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 82 · 33,623 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+19.0 pts
21,972 calls · 11,651 puts · bias +30.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.5 pts
516,818 call OI · 386,530 put OI · bias +14.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.50% · tape +39.1 · corr -0.10
● peak +55 ▼ low −14.6 ◆ −40.8 in a day 08-18 08-26 09-03 09-11 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-07 $51 $46 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.50% while the tape has firmed 39.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
11% hit rate · 1418 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$46.07 → $46.07
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$45.95 → $45.95
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$46.09 → $46.09
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$45.98 → $45.98
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VZ
Why did the score drop from +37 to +25 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +37.3 on 30 Sep, then fell to +20.8 on 1 Oct as the price moved from $50.22 to $45.87. It’s at +24.5 now.+19.0 from volume and +5.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 12:07 method · 62/38
Compare with T Why is our VZ record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?