XEL Xcel Energy Inc
$71.49 · +0.00% vs $71.49 close · scored 05:17 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−28.6 composite−38.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
2,408 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
has paid −2.55% · n=2,408
What traded today · weight 62%
+1.5 pts
1,233 calls · 51.2% 1,175 puts
bias +2.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−30.1 pts
20,559 call OI · 10.4% 177,717 put OI
bias −79.3 × 0.38
Equals
−28.6
5% of the score comes from today’s volume, 95% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.01% · tape −23.9 · corr -0.06
● peak +51 ◆ −109.3 in a day ▼ low −91.3 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $78 $69 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.01% while the tape has faded 23.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 79 · 2,408 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −2.55% avg, n=2,408
pass Tape has led price tape has led XEL’s price by 1 day (r=-0.34, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on XEL is poor 10% hit rate on 607 closed calls · payoff 0.58×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $71.49. The $65 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 67,653).
3 Oct · 4h
$71.40 → $71.40
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$71.70 → $71.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$70.55 → $70.55
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$70.55 → $70.55
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 486 of these 607 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 20.00 · fwd 16.30 Beta 0.376
52w $68.72–$84.23 IV rank —
Ask about XEL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −53 to −29 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −53.2 on 1 Oct, then rose to +10.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $70.50 to $70.55. It’s at −28.6 now.+1.5 from volume and −30.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 05:17 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our XEL record what it is? What’s the $65 wall?
What our data projects
−0.19 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#391 of 635 · helped by tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Xcel Energy Inc · Utilities
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−28.6 evidence
has paid −2.55% · n=2,408
Why it’s −29
+1.5 volume · 51% calls−30.1 OI · 10% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −109.3 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $78 $69 Price −7.01%, tape −23.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 79 · 2,408 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on XEL is poor 10% hit rate on 607 closed calls · payoff 0.58×
What traded today · 62%
+1.5 pts
1,233 calls · 1,175 puts · bias +2.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−30.1 pts
20,559 call OI · 177,717 put OI · bias −79.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.01% · tape −23.9 · corr -0.06
● peak +51 ◆ −109.3 in a day ▼ low −91.3 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $78 $69 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.01% while the tape has faded 23.9 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
10% hit rate · 607 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$71.40 → $71.40
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$71.70 → $71.70
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$70.55 → $70.55
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$70.55 → $70.55
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about XEL
Why did the score rise from −53 to −29 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −53.2 on 1 Oct, then rose to +10.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $70.50 to $70.55. It’s at −28.6 now.+1.5 from volume and −30.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 05:17 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our XEL record what it is? What’s the $65 wall?