XLE has the strongest read; SPY has the most behind it.
One lean bullish, one bearish. The difference is evidence and record: SPY’s read rests on 14,221,662 contracts but our 4h record on it is 3%; XLE’s bucket hasn’t paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bullish | Mildly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||
| Composite | +22.4 | −19.5 |
| Evidence | 74 | 80 |
| Quality | 91 | 85 |
| Price | $65.70 | $776.93 |
| Contracts today | 18,723 | 14,221,662 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −1.55% · n=2,677 | has paid −0.21% · n=201 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||
| Our record here, 4h | 16% of 590 checked | 3% of 1,123 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
XLESPYtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.