XLP has the strongest read; IWM has the most behind it.
No lean bullish, one bearish. The difference is evidence and record: IWM’s read rests on 412,364 contracts but our 4h record on it is 19%; XLP’s bucket has paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bearish | Neutral |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||
| Composite | −17.4 | −6.6 |
| Evidence | 67 | 85 |
| Quality | 82 | 93 |
| Price | $83.17 | $270.44 |
| Contracts today | 18,091 | 412,364 |
| Calibration | has paid −0.71% · n=559 | neutral · +0.64% · n=659 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||
| Our record here, 4h | 22% of 1,005 checked | 19% of 2,000 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
XLPIWMtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.