XLF has the strongest read; SPY has the most behind it.
No lean bullish, two bearish. The difference is evidence and record: SPY’s read rests on 14,221,662 contracts but our 4h record on it is 3%; XLF’s bucket has paid historically.
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02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
XLVSPYXLFtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
| The read | Neutral | Mildly bearish | Mildly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | |||
| Composite | +3.9 | −19.5 | −24.5 |
| Evidence | 67 | 80 | 79 |
| Quality | 82 | 85 | 84 |
| Price | $176.73 | $776.93 | $53.62 |
| Contracts today | 13,677 | 14,221,662 | 184,520 |
| Calibration | neutral · −0.68% · n=515 | has paid −0.21% · n=201 | has paid −0.36% · n=233 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | |||
| Our record here, 4h | 36% of 271 checked | 3% of 1,123 checked | 6% of 522 checked |
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.