MPLX has the strongest read; XOM has the most behind it.
One lean bullish, one bearish. The difference is evidence and record: XOM’s read rests on 32,598 contracts but our 4h record on it is 20%; MPLX’s bucket hasn’t paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bullish | Strongly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||
| Composite | +23.1 | −37.7 |
| Evidence | 74 | 52 |
| Quality | 82 | 50 |
| Price | $168.50 | $56.38 |
| Contracts today | 32,598 | 202 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948 | hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||
| Our record here, 4h | 20% of 1,541 checked | 16% of 363 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
XOMMPLXtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.