XYL Xylem Inc
$101.99 · +0.00% vs $101.99 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 59/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−55.9 composite−103.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 40% today
3,315 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−53.1 pts
239 calls · 7.2% 3,076 puts
bias −85.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−2.9 pts
11,325 call OI · 46.2% 13,185 put OI
bias −7.6 × 0.38
Equals
−55.9
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.13% · tape −73.0 · corr 0.42
● peak +78 ▼ low −67.2 ◆ −113.0 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $113 $101 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.13% while the tape has faded 73.0 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 78 · 3,315 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led XYL’s tape by 1 day (r=0.41, n=44)
against Our record on XYL is poor 5% hit rate on 281 closed calls · payoff 0.20×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $101.99 highlighted. The $105 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,835).
9 Oct · 4h
$101.99 → $101.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.63 → $102.63
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$101.99 → $102.63
+0.63% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$101.99 → $102.63
+0.63% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 160 of these 281 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 23.82 · fwd 17.74 Beta 0.992
52w $102.25–$154.27 IV rank —
Ask about XYL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +48 to −56 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +47.6 on 4 Oct, then fell to −55.1 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $102.12 to $102.12. It’s at −55.9 now.−53.1 from volume and −2.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ITW Why is our XYL record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?
What our data projects
−0.34 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#512 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Xylem Inc · Machinery
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−55.9 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −56
−53.1 volume · 7% calls−2.9 OI · 46% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −113.0 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $113 $101 Price −5.13%, tape −73.0 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (60th pct) · quality 78 · 3,315 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led XYL’s tape by 1 day (r=0.41, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−53.1 pts
239 calls · 3,076 puts · bias −85.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−2.9 pts
11,325 call OI · 13,185 put OI · bias −7.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.13% · tape −73.0 · corr 0.42
● peak +78 ▼ low −67.2 ◆ −113.0 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $113 $101 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.13% while the tape has faded 73.0 points. They agree.
5% hit rate · 281 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$101.99 → $101.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$102.63 → $102.63
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$101.99 → $102.63
+0.63% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$101.99 → $102.63
+0.63% miss
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about XYL
Why did the score drop from +48 to −56 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +47.6 on 4 Oct, then fell to −55.1 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $102.12 to $102.12. It’s at −55.9 now.−53.1 from volume and −2.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ITW Why is our XYL record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?