YUM Yum! Brands Inc
$140.35 · +0.00% vs $140.35 close · scored 12:59 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 56/100
What changed
Composite weakened 51.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.3 composite┆ +66.7 yesterday (−51.4) +28.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 47% today
505 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.76
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
What traded today · weight 62%
−0.9 pts
249 calls · 49.3% 256 puts
bias −1.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.2 pts
8,184 call OI · 71.3% 3,292 put OI
bias +42.6 × 0.38
Equals
+15.3
5% of the score comes from today’s volume, 95% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.87% · tape −52.8 · corr 0.21
● peak +68 ▼ low −39.9 ◆ −81.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-08 $156 $136 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.87% while the tape has faded 52.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 82 · 505 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
pass Tape has led price tape has led YUM’s price by 3 days (r=0.15, n=43)
against Our record on YUM is poor 7% hit rate on 245 closed calls · payoff 0.75×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $140.35 highlighted. The $155 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,292). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
8 Oct · 4h
$140.35 → $140.35
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$136.12 → $136.12
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$136.12 → $136.12
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$136.69 → $136.69
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 136 of these 245 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 17.44 · fwd 19.19 Beta 0.552
52w $134.26–$170.14 IV rank —
Ask about YUM answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −13 to +15 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +15.2 on 2 Oct, then rose to +66.7 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $136.69 to $136.12. It’s at +15.3 now.−0.9 from volume and +16.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 12:59 method · 62/38
Compare with MCD Why is our YUM record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?
What our data projects
−0.62 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#608 of 635 · helped by quality, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Yum! Brands Inc · Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+15.3 ┆ +66.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
Why it’s +15
−0.9 volume · 49% calls+16.2 OI · 71% calls
44 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −81.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-08 $156 $136 Price −6.87%, tape −52.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 82 · 505 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
against Our record on YUM is poor 7% hit rate on 245 closed calls · payoff 0.75×
What traded today · 62%
−0.9 pts
249 calls · 256 puts · bias −1.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.2 pts
8,184 call OI · 3,292 put OI · bias +42.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.87% · tape −52.8 · corr 0.21
● peak +68 ▼ low −39.9 ◆ −81.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-08 $156 $136 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.87% while the tape has faded 52.8 points. They agree.
7% hit rate · 245 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$140.35 → $140.35
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$136.12 → $136.12
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$136.12 → $136.12
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$136.69 → $136.69
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about YUM
Why did the score rise from −13 to +15 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +15.2 on 2 Oct, then rose to +66.7 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $136.69 to $136.12. It’s at +15.3 now.−0.9 from volume and +16.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 12:59 method · 62/38
Compare with MCD Why is our YUM record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?