AMZN Amazon.com Inc
$254.06 · +1.01% vs $251.52 close · scored 22:36 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 96/100
What changed
Composite weakened 3.9 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 96/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.9 composite┆ +36.8 yesterday (−3.9) +0.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
96 / 100 · top 1% today
353,705 contracts · quality 97 · stability 0.95
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.4 pts
232,189 calls · 65.6% 121,516 puts
bias +31.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.5 pts
167,849 call OI · 67.8% 79,830 put OI
bias +35.5 × 0.38
Equals
+32.9
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.70% · tape −1.7 · corr -0.06
▼ low +30.0 ● peak +43 ◆ +10.5 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $259 $247 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.70% while the tape has barely moved (−1.7). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 96 (100th pct) · quality 97 · 353,705 contracts
pass Stable 0.95 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led AMZN’s price by 3 days (r=-0.34, n=50)
against Our record on AMZN is poor 15% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.55×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $254.06 highlighted. The $265 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 22,581). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on AMZN Proof 15%
hit rate · 2000 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$254.06 → $254.06
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$251.52 → $251.52
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$251.52 → $251.52
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$250.84 → $250.84
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1349 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 20.02 · fwd 22.75 Beta 1.514
52w $196.00–$287.20 IV rank —
Ask about AMZN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +32.9?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.6 points of +32.9 across the last 8 sessions.+19.4 from volume and +13.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 22:36 method · 62/38
Compare with GME Why is our AMZN record what it is? What’s the $265 wall?
What our data projects
+0.05 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#243 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $265 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Amazon.com Inc · Retail
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.9 ┆ +36.8 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +33
+19.4 volume · 66% calls+13.5 OI · 68% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +10.5 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $259 $247 Price −2.70%, tape −1.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 96 (100th pct) · quality 97 · 353,705 contracts
pass Stable 0.95 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against Our record on AMZN is poor 15% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.55×
What traded today · 62%
+19.4 pts
232,189 calls · 121,516 puts · bias +31.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.5 pts
167,849 call OI · 79,830 put OI · bias +35.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.70% · tape −1.7 · corr -0.06
▼ low +30.0 ● peak +43 ◆ +10.5 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $259 $247 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.70% while the tape has barely moved (−1.7). They agree.
15% hit rate · 2000 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$254.06 → $254.06
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$251.52 → $251.52
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$251.52 → $251.52
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$250.84 → $250.84
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $265 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AMZN
What is behind today’s +32.9?
The composite has held within 0.6 points of +32.9 across the last 8 sessions.+19.4 from volume and +13.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 22:36 method · 62/38
Compare with GME Why is our AMZN record what it is? What’s the $265 wall?