AZO Autozone Inc
$2,910.54 · +0.00% vs $2,910.54 close · scored 14:29 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 65/100
What changed
Composite weakened 12.7 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−7.9 composite┆ +4.9 yesterday (−12.7) −15.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 25% today
1,677 contracts · quality 86 · stability 0.82
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.5 pts
777 calls · 46.3% 900 puts
bias −7.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.3 pts
5,681 call OI · 45.6% 6,766 put OI
bias −8.7 × 0.38
Equals
−7.9
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.39% · tape −15.2 · corr 0.18
▼ low −9.5 ● peak +35 ◆ −35.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $2,978 $2,792 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.39% while the tape has faded 15.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 86 · 1,677 contracts
pass Stable 0.82 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led AZO’s tape by 2 days (r=0.45, n=44)
against Our record on AZO is poor 17% hit rate on 798 closed calls · payoff 0.59×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2,910.54 highlighted. The $3,400 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 758).
9 Oct · 4h
$2,910.54 → $2,910.54
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2,910.54 → $2,910.54
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2,910.54 → $2,910.54
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2,908.73 → $2,910.54
+0.06% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 570 of these 798 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 18.23 · fwd 16.82 Beta 0.379
52w $2,764.88–$4,332.68 IV rank —
Ask about AZO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +8 to −8 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +5.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to −7.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2,792.03 to $2,792.03. It’s at −7.9 now.−4.5 from volume and −3.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our AZO record what it is? What’s the $3400 wall?
What our data projects
−0.13 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#357 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3400 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Autozone Inc · Retail
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−7.9 ┆ +4.9 yday evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s −8
−4.5 volume · 46% calls−3.3 OI · 46% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −35.2 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $2,978 $2,792 Price −1.39%, tape −15.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 86 · 1,677 contracts
pass Stable 0.82 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led AZO’s tape by 2 days (r=0.45, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−4.5 pts
777 calls · 900 puts · bias −7.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.3 pts
5,681 call OI · 6,766 put OI · bias −8.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.39% · tape −15.2 · corr 0.18
▼ low −9.5 ● peak +35 ◆ −35.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $2,978 $2,792 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.39% while the tape has faded 15.2 points. They agree.
17% hit rate · 798 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$2,910.54 → $2,910.54
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2,910.54 → $2,910.54
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2,910.54 → $2,910.54
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2,908.73 → $2,910.54
+0.06% hit
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3400 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AZO
Why did the score drop from +8 to −8 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +5.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to −7.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2,792.03 to $2,792.03. It’s at −7.9 now.−4.5 from volume and −3.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our AZO record what it is? What’s the $3400 wall?