BA Boeing Co
$187.75 · −3.00% vs $193.56 close · scored 12:57 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 75/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 75/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.0 composite+4.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
75 / 100 · top 8% today
52,529 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.39% · n=12,125
What traded today · weight 62%
+24.6 pts
36,671 calls · 69.8% 15,858 puts
bias +39.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.4 pts
129,596 call OI · 66.4% 65,697 put OI
bias +32.7 × 0.38
Equals
+37.0
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.54% · tape +30.4 · corr -0.44
▼ low +18.8 ◆ −15.7 in a day ● peak +42 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $211 $186 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.54% while the tape has firmed 30.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 82 · 52,529 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.39% avg, n=12,125
pass Tape has led price tape has led BA’s price by 2 days (r=0.22, n=52)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on BA is poor 20% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.41×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $187.75 highlighted. The $200 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 22,182). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
20%
hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$187.75 → $187.75
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$193.56 → $193.56
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$193.80 → $193.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$192.84 → $192.84
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1140 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 62.28 · fwd 67.85 Beta 1.338
52w $176.77–$254.35 IV rank —
Ask about BA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +33 to +37 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.6 on 3 Oct, then rose to +41.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $193.80 to $193.56. It’s at +37.0 now.+24.6 from volume and +12.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 12:57 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our BA record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?
What our data projects
+0.74 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#30 of 724 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Boeing Co · Aerospace & Defense
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+37.0 evidence
has paid +1.39% · n=12,125
Why it’s +37
+24.6 volume · 70% calls+12.4 OI · 66% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −15.7 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $211 $186 Price −6.54%, tape +30.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 82 · 52,529 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on BA is poor 20% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.41×
What traded today · 62%
+24.6 pts
36,671 calls · 15,858 puts · bias +39.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.4 pts
129,596 call OI · 65,697 put OI · bias +32.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.54% · tape +30.4 · corr -0.44
▼ low +18.8 ◆ −15.7 in a day ● peak +42 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $211 $186 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.54% while the tape has firmed 30.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
20% hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$187.75 → $187.75
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$193.56 → $193.56
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$193.80 → $193.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$192.84 → $192.84
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BA
Why did the score rise from +33 to +37 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.6 on 3 Oct, then rose to +41.9 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $193.80 to $193.56. It’s at +37.0 now.+24.6 from volume and +12.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 12:57 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our BA record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?