C Citigroup Inc
$128.83 · +0.00% vs $128.83 close · scored 16:38 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 74/100
What changed
Composite weakened 36.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 74/100
For the read
signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.1 composite┆ +28.4 yesterday (−36.4) −34.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
74 / 100 · top 9% today
8,393 contracts · quality 91 · stability 0.89
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.0 pts
3,929 calls · 46.8% 4,464 puts
bias −6.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.1 pts
95,016 call OI · 44.6% 118,009 put OI
bias −10.8 × 0.38
Equals
−8.1
49% of the score comes from today’s volume, 51% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.10% · tape −14.0 · corr 0.08
● peak +28 ▼ low −8.1 ◆ −36.4 in a day 09-24 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-10 $134 $127 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.10% while the tape has faded 14.0 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 91 · 8,393 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
pass Tape has led price tape has led C’s price by 2 days (r=0.27, n=42)
note Our record on C is mixed 38% hit rate on 412 closed calls · payoff 3.06×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $128.83 highlighted. The $120 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 41,685). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
6 Oct · 4h
$128.83 → $128.83
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$128.50 → $128.50
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$128.50 → $128.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$128.65 → $128.65
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 158 of these 412 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 12.08 · fwd 10.67 Beta 1.153
52w $93.66–$147.96 IV rank —
Ask about C answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +23 to −8 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +28.4 on 5 Oct, then fell to −8.1 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $128.50 to $128.83. It’s at −8.1 now.−4.0 from volume and −4.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 16:38 method · 62/38
Compare with NU Why is our C record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?
What our data projects
+0.10 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#214 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Citigroup Inc · Banking
Neutral, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.1 ┆ +28.4 yday evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s −8
−4.0 volume · 47% calls−4.1 OI · 45% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −36.4 09-24 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-10 $134 $127 Price −4.10%, tape −14.0 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 91 · 8,393 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Our record on C is mixed 38% hit rate on 412 closed calls · payoff 3.06×
What traded today · 62%
−4.0 pts
3,929 calls · 4,464 puts · bias −6.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.1 pts
95,016 call OI · 118,009 put OI · bias −10.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.10% · tape −14.0 · corr 0.08
● peak +28 ▼ low −8.1 ◆ −36.4 in a day 09-24 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-10 $134 $127 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.10% while the tape has faded 14.0 points. They agree.
38% hit rate · 412 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$128.83 → $128.83
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$128.50 → $128.50
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$128.50 → $128.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$128.65 → $128.65
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about C
Why did the score drop from +23 to −8 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +28.4 on 5 Oct, then fell to −8.1 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $128.50 to $128.83. It’s at −8.1 now.−4.0 from volume and −4.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 16:38 method · 62/38
Compare with NU Why is our C record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?