CHTR Charter Communications Inc
$105.85 · −3.48% vs $109.67 close · scored 15:45 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 67/100
What changed
Composite weakened 4.7 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+9.2 composite┆ +13.9 yesterday (−4.7) +8.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
5,147 contracts · quality 86 · stability 0.77
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.5 pts
2,886 calls · 56.1% 2,261 puts
bias +12.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.7 pts
16,265 call OI · 52.2% 14,878 put OI
bias +4.5 × 0.38
Equals
+9.2
82% of the score comes from today’s volume, 18% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −24.75% · tape +10.5 · corr -0.04
● peak +58 ◆ −59.0 in a day ▼ low −48.3 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $157 $107 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 24.75% while the tape has firmed 10.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 86 · 5,147 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CHTR’s tape by 3 days (r=0.24, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on CHTR is poor 19% hit rate on 1457 closed calls · payoff 1.02×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $105.85 highlighted. The $130 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,905). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CHTR Proof 19%
hit rate · 1457 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$105.85 → $105.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$109.67 → $105.85
−3.48% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$109.67 → $105.85
−3.48% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$109.67 → $105.85
−3.48% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 900 of these 1457 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 3.87 · fwd 2.72 Beta 0.755
52w $104.91–$284.60 IV rank —
Ask about CHTR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +0 to +9 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −5.1 on 7 Oct, then rose to +12.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $106.52 to $106.96. It’s at +9.2 now.+7.5 from volume and +1.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our CHTR record what it is? What’s the $130 wall?
What our data projects
+0.84 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#18 of 635 · helped by price momentum (5 days), last day's move, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $130 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Charter Communications Inc · Media
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+9.2 ┆ +13.9 yday evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s +9
+7.5 volume · 56% calls+1.7 OI · 52% calls
51 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −59.0 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $157 $107 Price −24.75%, tape +10.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 86 · 5,147 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CHTR’s tape by 3 days (r=0.24, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+7.5 pts
2,886 calls · 2,261 puts · bias +12.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.7 pts
16,265 call OI · 14,878 put OI · bias +4.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −24.75% · tape +10.5 · corr -0.04
● peak +58 ◆ −59.0 in a day ▼ low −48.3 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $157 $107 Over 30 days, price has fallen 24.75% while the tape has firmed 10.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
19% hit rate · 1457 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$105.85 → $105.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$109.67 → $105.85
−3.48% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$109.67 → $105.85
−3.48% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$109.67 → $105.85
−3.48% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $130 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CHTR
Why did the score rise from +0 to +9 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −5.1 on 7 Oct, then rose to +12.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $106.52 to $106.96. It’s at +9.2 now.+7.5 from volume and +1.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our CHTR record what it is? What’s the $130 wall?