D Dominion Energy Inc
$61.60 · −0.24% vs $61.75 close · scored 15:44 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 66/100
What changed
Composite weakened 4.3 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.2 composite┆ +49.5 yesterday (−4.3) +2.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 22% today
1,118 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.67
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+31.6 pts
844 calls · 75.5% 274 puts
bias +51.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.6 pts
17,025 call OI · 67.9% 8,063 put OI
bias +35.7 × 0.38
Equals
+45.2
70% of the score comes from today’s volume, 30% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.70% · tape +52.3 · corr -0.35
▼ low −40.7 ◆ −78.2 in a day ● peak +49 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $66 $60 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.70% while the tape has firmed 52.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 81 · 1,118 contracts
note Jumpy 0.67 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led D’s tape by 3 days (r=0.24, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on D is poor 12% hit rate on 413 closed calls · payoff 0.71×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $61.60 highlighted. The $67.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 10,596). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$61.60 → $61.60
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$61.75 → $61.60
−0.24% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$61.75 → $61.60
−0.24% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$61.75 → $61.60
−0.24% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 182 of these 413 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 21.16 · fwd 16.64 Beta 0.617
52w $55.85–$72.99 IV rank —
Ask about D answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +45.2?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 2.3 points of +45.2 across the last 8 sessions.+31.6 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with PCG Why is our D record what it is? What’s the $67.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.10 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#333 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $67.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Dominion Energy Inc · Utilities
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.2 ┆ +49.5 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +45
+31.6 volume · 75% calls+13.6 OI · 68% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −78.2 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $66 $60 Price −5.70%, tape +52.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 81 · 1,118 contracts
note Jumpy 0.67 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led D’s tape by 3 days (r=0.24, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+31.6 pts
844 calls · 274 puts · bias +51.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.6 pts
17,025 call OI · 8,063 put OI · bias +35.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.70% · tape +52.3 · corr -0.35
▼ low −40.7 ◆ −78.2 in a day ● peak +49 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $66 $60 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.70% while the tape has firmed 52.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
12% hit rate · 413 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$61.60 → $61.60
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$61.75 → $61.60
−0.24% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$61.75 → $61.60
−0.24% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$61.75 → $61.60
−0.24% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $67.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about D
What is behind today’s +45.2?
The composite has held within 2.3 points of +45.2 across the last 8 sessions.+31.6 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with PCG Why is our D record what it is? What’s the $67.5 wall?