DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc
$134.63 · −1.07% vs $136.08 close · scored 12:22 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 67/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 4.9 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−30.1 composite┆ −35.0 yesterday (+4.9) −16.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
2,581 contracts · quality 89 · stability 0.90
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−14.0 pts
1,000 calls · 38.7% 1,581 puts
bias −22.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−16.2 pts
13,066 call OI · 28.7% 32,403 put OI
bias −42.5 × 0.38
Equals
−30.1
46% of the score comes from today’s volume, 54% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +2.80% · tape −77.9 · corr -0.20
▼ low −56.1 ● peak +10 ◆ +66.0 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $136 $133 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 2.80% while the tape has faded 77.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 89 · 2,581 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
pass Tape has led price tape has led DKS’s price by 3 days (r=0.37, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on DKS is mixed 44% hit rate on 367 closed calls · payoff 3.32×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $134.63 highlighted. The $105 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 22,633). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$134.63 → $134.63
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$136.08 → $136.08
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$136.08 → $136.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$133.06 → $133.06
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 145 of these 367 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 14.43 · fwd 10.72 Beta 1.105
52w $120.15–$244.38 IV rank —
Ask about DKS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from −14 to −30 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −16.4 on 3 Oct, then fell to −35.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $136.08 to $136.08. It’s at −30.1 now.−14.0 from volume and −16.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 12:22 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our DKS record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?
What our data projects
+0.50 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#63 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc · Retail
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−30.1 ┆ −35.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −30
−14.0 volume · 39% calls−16.2 OI · 29% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +66.0 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $136 $133 Price +2.80%, tape −77.9 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 89 · 2,581 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−14.0 pts
1,000 calls · 1,581 puts · bias −22.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−16.2 pts
13,066 call OI · 32,403 put OI · bias −42.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +2.80% · tape −77.9 · corr -0.20
▼ low −56.1 ● peak +10 ◆ +66.0 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $136 $133 Over 30 days, price has risen 2.80% while the tape has faded 77.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
44% hit rate · 367 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$134.63 → $134.63
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$136.08 → $136.08
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$136.08 → $136.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$133.06 → $133.06
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DKS
Why did the score drop from −14 to −30 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −16.4 on 3 Oct, then fell to −35.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $136.08 to $136.08. It’s at −30.1 now.−14.0 from volume and −16.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 12:22 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our DKS record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?