DPZ Domino's Pizza Inc
$307.87 · −0.25% vs $308.65 close · scored 15:46 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 23.2 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.2 composite┆ +8.1 yesterday (+23.2) −5.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 50% today
1,384 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.79
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+28.7 pts
1,012 calls · 73.1% 372 puts
bias +46.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.6 pts
7,400 call OI · 53.4% 6,468 put OI
bias +6.7 × 0.38
Equals
+31.2
92% of the score comes from today’s volume, 8% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.98% · tape +18.8 · corr -0.23
▼ low −3.6 ● peak +51 ◆ −38.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $310 $292 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.98% while the tape has firmed 18.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 84 · 1,384 contracts
note Jumpy 0.79 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 75
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DPZ’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.22, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on DPZ is poor 17% hit rate on 407 closed calls · payoff 1.14×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $307.87 highlighted. The $300 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,034). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$307.87 → $307.87
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$308.65 → $307.87
−0.25% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$308.65 → $307.87
−0.25% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$308.65 → $307.87
−0.25% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 175 of these 407 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 16.66 · fwd 14.60 Beta 0.986
52w $282.00–$442.35 IV rank —
Ask about DPZ answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +36 to +31 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +43.0 on 7 Oct, then fell to +9.6 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $309.52 to $303.10. It’s at +31.2 now.+28.7 from volume and +2.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:46 method · 62/38
Compare with MCD Why is our DPZ record what it is? What’s the $300 wall?
What our data projects
+0.01 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#292 of 724 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $300 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Domino's Pizza Inc · Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.2 ┆ +8.1 yday evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +31
+28.7 volume · 73% calls+2.6 OI · 53% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −38.2 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $310 $292 Price −7.98%, tape +18.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (50th pct) · quality 84 · 1,384 contracts
note Jumpy 0.79 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 75
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DPZ’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.22, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+28.7 pts
1,012 calls · 372 puts · bias +46.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.6 pts
7,400 call OI · 6,468 put OI · bias +6.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.98% · tape +18.8 · corr -0.23
▼ low −3.6 ● peak +51 ◆ −38.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $310 $292 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.98% while the tape has firmed 18.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
17% hit rate · 407 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$307.87 → $307.87
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$308.65 → $307.87
−0.25% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$308.65 → $307.87
−0.25% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$308.65 → $307.87
−0.25% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $300 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DPZ
Why did the score drop from +36 to +31 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +43.0 on 7 Oct, then fell to +9.6 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $309.52 to $303.10. It’s at +31.2 now.+28.7 from volume and +2.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:46 method · 62/38
Compare with MCD Why is our DPZ record what it is? What’s the $300 wall?