DUK Duke Energy Corp
$116.15 · −0.59% vs $116.84 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+19.9 composite−47.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
846 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.2 pts
465 calls · 55.0% 381 puts
bias +9.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.8 pts
28,969 call OI · 68.1% 13,560 put OI
bias +36.2 × 0.38
Equals
+19.9
31% of the score comes from today’s volume, 69% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.63% · tape +1.6 · corr -0.29
● peak +69 ▼ low −18.5 ◆ −78.3 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $121 $113 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.63% while the tape has barely moved (+1.6). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 77 · 846 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DUK’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.30, n=51)
against Our record on DUK is poor 9% hit rate on 1463 closed calls · payoff 0.98×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $116.15 highlighted. The $120 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 12,717). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$116.15 → $116.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$116.84 → $116.15
−0.59% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$116.84 → $116.15
−0.59% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$116.84 → $116.15
−0.59% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1149 of these 1463 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 16.98 · fwd 16.51 Beta 0.329
52w $112.40–$134.49 IV rank —
Ask about DUK answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +67 to +20 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +67.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +32.1 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $113.74 to $114.38. It’s at +19.9 now.+6.2 from volume and +13.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our DUK record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?
What our data projects
−0.45 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#551 of 635 · helped by last day's move, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Duke Energy Corp · Utilities
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+19.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
Why it’s +20
+6.2 volume · 55% calls+13.8 OI · 68% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −78.3 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $121 $113 Price −3.63%, tape +1.6 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 77 · 846 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DUK’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.30, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
+6.2 pts
465 calls · 381 puts · bias +9.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.8 pts
28,969 call OI · 13,560 put OI · bias +36.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.63% · tape +1.6 · corr -0.29
● peak +69 ▼ low −18.5 ◆ −78.3 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $121 $113 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.63% while the tape has barely moved (+1.6). The two are drifting apart.
9% hit rate · 1463 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$116.15 → $116.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$116.84 → $116.15
−0.59% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$116.84 → $116.15
−0.59% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$116.84 → $116.15
−0.59% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DUK
Why did the score drop from +67 to +20 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +67.0 on 2 Oct, then fell to +32.1 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $113.74 to $114.38. It’s at +19.9 now.+6.2 from volume and +13.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our DUK record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?