ED Consolidated Edison Inc
$103.39 · +0.00% vs $103.39 close · scored 09:27 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 65/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 17.5 points.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.7 composite┆ −8.7 yesterday (+17.5) +17.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 25% today
666 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.77
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.9 pts
370 calls · 55.6% 296 puts
bias +11.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.8 pts
7,460 call OI · 52.4% 6,769 put OI
bias +4.9 × 0.38
Equals
+8.7
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.81% · tape −56.6 · corr 0.44
● peak +85 ▼ low −55.2 ◆ +120.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-10 $109 $102 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.81% while the tape has faded 56.6 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 83 · 666 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
pass Tape has led price tape has led ED’s price by 1 day (r=0.32, n=45)
against Our record on ED is poor 18% hit rate on 352 closed calls · payoff 0.64×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $103.39. The $100 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,703).
4 Oct · 4h
$103.39 → $103.39
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$103.39 → $103.39
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$103.50 → $103.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$103.50 → $103.50
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 177 of these 352 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 17.40 · fwd 16.26 Beta 0.254
52w $94.96–$116.23 IV rank —
Ask about ED answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −9 to +9 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −8.7 on 3 Oct, then rose to +8.7 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $103.39 to $103.39. It’s at +8.7 now.+6.9 from volume and +1.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 09:27 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our ED record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?
What our data projects
−0.26 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#454 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Consolidated Edison Inc · Utilities
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.7 ┆ −8.7 yday evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s +9
+6.9 volume · 56% calls+1.8 OI · 52% calls
46 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +120.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-10 $109 $102 Price −3.81%, tape −56.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 83 · 666 contracts
note Jumpy 0.77 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
against Our record on ED is poor 18% hit rate on 352 closed calls · payoff 0.64×
What traded today · 62%
+6.9 pts
370 calls · 296 puts · bias +11.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.8 pts
7,460 call OI · 6,769 put OI · bias +4.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.81% · tape −56.6 · corr 0.44
● peak +85 ▼ low −55.2 ◆ +120.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-10 $109 $102 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.81% while the tape has faded 56.6 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
18% hit rate · 352 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$103.39 → $103.39
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$103.39 → $103.39
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$103.50 → $103.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$103.50 → $103.50
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ED
Why did the score rise from −9 to +9 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −8.7 on 3 Oct, then rose to +8.7 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $103.39 to $103.39. It’s at +8.7 now.+6.9 from volume and +1.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 09:27 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our ED record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?