EMR Emerson Electric Co
$160.15 · +0.68% vs $159.06 close · scored 15:45 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+62.8 composite+49.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 52% today
904 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+44.0 pts
773 calls · 85.5% 131 puts
bias +71.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.7 pts
6,930 call OI · 74.7% 2,352 put OI
bias +49.3 × 0.38
Equals
+62.8
70% of the score comes from today’s volume, 30% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +4.08% · tape +32.2 · corr 0.15
● peak +81 ▼ low +5.3 ◆ +58.3 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $162 $150 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 4.08% while the tape has firmed 32.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 77 · 904 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led EMR’s tape by 1 day (r=0.23, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on EMR is mixed 45% hit rate on 397 closed calls · payoff 1.74×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $160.15 highlighted. The $167.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,567). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$160.15 → $160.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$159.06 → $160.15
+0.68% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$159.06 → $160.15
+0.68% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$159.06 → $160.15
+0.68% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 169 of these 397 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 34.89 · fwd 21.26 Beta 1.225
52w $122.64–$166.35 IV rank —
Ask about EMR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +5 to +63 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +12.8 on 2 Oct, then rose to +71.2 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $158.57 to $161.61. It’s at +62.8 now.+44.0 from volume and +18.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our EMR record what it is? What’s the $167.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.03 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#291 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $167.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Emerson Electric Co · Electrical Equipment
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+62.8 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +63
+44.0 volume · 86% calls+18.7 OI · 75% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +58.3 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $162 $150 Price +4.08%, tape +32.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 77 · 904 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led EMR’s tape by 1 day (r=0.23, n=43)
What traded today · 62%
+44.0 pts
773 calls · 131 puts · bias +71.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.7 pts
6,930 call OI · 2,352 put OI · bias +49.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +4.08% · tape +32.2 · corr 0.15
● peak +81 ▼ low +5.3 ◆ +58.3 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $162 $150 Over 30 days, price has risen 4.08% while the tape has firmed 32.2 points. They agree.
45% hit rate · 397 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$160.15 → $160.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$159.06 → $160.15
+0.68% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$159.06 → $160.15
+0.68% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$159.06 → $160.15
+0.68% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $167.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EMR
Why did the score rise from +5 to +63 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +12.8 on 2 Oct, then rose to +71.2 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $158.57 to $161.61. It’s at +62.8 now.+44.0 from volume and +18.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with FPS Why is our EMR record what it is? What’s the $167.5 wall?